Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.342.84safe0.53–2.460.49–2.201.02–4.66safer0.28–2.720.26–2.430.54–5.14
Shots on target
54%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.884.108.98safe3.01–6.742.36–5.845.37–12.58safer2.53–7.231.89–6.314.42–13.54
Total shots
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9311.6925.62safe10.00–17.858.13–15.2518.13–33.11safer8.91–18.947.17–16.2116.08–35.16
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.237.2615.48safe5.28–11.174.58–9.949.86–21.11safer4.45–12.003.84–10.688.29–22.67
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.582.886.46safe1.69–5.461.23–4.532.92–9.99safer1.15–6.000.73–5.021.89–11.03
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.263.839.10safe3.05–7.481.83–5.834.88–13.31safer2.48–8.051.30–6.373.77–14.42
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.6946.70safe46.90–60.4839.91–53.48safer45.23–62.1538.24–55.15
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction462420881safe394–529353–486747–1015safer376–547336–504712–1051
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction83.9282.58safe79.89–87.9478.26–86.91safer78.59–89.2476.95–88.22
Fouls
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6213.3424.96safe8.79–14.4610.39–16.2819.18–30.75safer8.03–15.229.65–17.0317.68–32.25
Offsides
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.154.06safe0.75–3.071.06–3.251.81–6.32safer0.45–3.370.77–3.541.22–6.91
Yellow cards
28%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.043.54safe0.45–2.550.91–3.171.36–5.72safer0.18–2.820.62–3.460.80–6.27
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.416.20safe1.35–4.221.86–4.973.20–9.19safer0.96–4.611.43–5.392.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.46 0.28–2.72 | 1.34 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.01–6.74 2.53–7.23 | 4.10 2.36–5.84 1.89–6.31 | 8.98 5.37–12.58 4.42–13.54 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Total shots | 13.93 10.00–17.85 8.91–18.94 | 11.69 8.13–15.25 7.17–16.21 | 25.62 18.13–33.11 16.08–35.16 | 63% 29% |
| Shots in box | 8.23 5.28–11.17 4.45–12.00 | 7.26 4.58–9.94 3.84–10.68 | 15.48 9.86–21.11 8.29–22.67 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.69–5.46 1.15–6.00 | 2.88 1.23–4.53 0.73–5.02 | 6.46 2.92–9.99 1.89–11.03 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.05–7.48 2.48–8.05 | 3.83 1.83–5.83 1.30–6.37 | 9.10 4.88–13.31 3.77–14.42 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 53.69 46.90–60.48 45.23–62.15 | 46.70 39.91–53.48 38.24–55.15 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 462 394–529 376–547 | 420 353–486 336–504 | 881 747–1015 712–1051 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.92 79.89–87.94 78.59–89.24 | 82.58 78.26–86.91 76.95–88.22 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 11.62 8.79–14.46 8.03–15.22 | 13.34 10.39–16.28 9.65–17.03 | 24.96 19.18–30.75 17.68–32.25 | 33% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 2.15 1.06–3.25 0.77–3.54 | 4.06 1.81–6.32 1.22–6.91 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.18–2.82 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.54 1.36–5.72 0.80–6.27 | 28% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.41 1.86–4.97 1.43–5.39 | 6.20 3.20–9.19 2.39–10.00 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.