Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
25%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.602.68safe0.11–2.040.75–2.460.86–4.50safer0.00–2.300.52–2.690.38–4.98
Shots on target
29%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.865.008.86safe2.00–5.733.26–6.745.26–12.47safer1.51–6.222.79–7.214.30–13.42
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7013.2425.93safe8.78–16.629.67–16.8018.45–33.42safer7.68–17.728.71–17.7616.40–35.47
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.178.4416.61safe5.22–11.115.76–11.1210.99–22.23safer4.40–11.945.02–11.869.42–23.80
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.363.897.25safe1.48–5.242.23–5.543.71–10.79safer0.94–5.791.74–6.032.68–11.82
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.765.3110.07safe2.55–6.973.31–7.315.85–14.28safer1.97–7.552.77–7.844.75–15.39
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.5757.87safe34.78–48.3651.09–64.66safer33.11–50.0349.42–66.33
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction398543942safe331–466477–610808–1075safer313–484459–627772–1111
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction80.9587.01safe76.92–84.9882.68–91.33safer75.63–86.2781.37–92.64
Fouls
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4710.4022.87safe9.64–15.317.45–13.3417.09–28.65safer8.88–16.076.70–14.0915.59–30.16
Offsides
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.723.79safe0.92–3.240.62–2.811.54–6.05safer0.62–3.540.34–3.100.95–6.64
Yellow cards
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.403.38safe0.94–3.040.27–2.521.21–5.56safer0.67–3.300.00–2.820.65–6.12
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.070.19safe0.00–0.280.00–0.250.00–0.54safer0.00–0.430.00–0.380.00–0.82
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.926.29safe1.93–4.811.36–4.483.30–9.28safer1.55–5.190.94–4.902.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.04 0.00–2.30 | 1.60 0.75–2.46 0.52–2.69 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 26% 25% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.86 2.00–5.73 1.51–6.22 | 5.00 3.26–6.74 2.79–7.21 | 8.86 5.26–12.47 4.30–13.42 | 29% 58% |
| Total shots | 12.70 8.78–16.62 7.68–17.72 | 13.24 9.67–16.80 8.71–17.76 | 25.93 18.45–33.42 16.40–35.47 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.17 5.22–11.11 4.40–11.94 | 8.44 5.76–11.12 5.02–11.86 | 16.61 10.99–22.23 9.42–23.80 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.36 1.48–5.24 0.94–5.79 | 3.89 2.23–5.54 1.74–6.03 | 7.25 3.71–10.79 2.68–11.82 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.76 2.55–6.97 1.97–7.55 | 5.31 3.31–7.31 2.77–7.84 | 10.07 5.85–14.28 4.75–15.39 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 41.57 34.78–48.36 33.11–50.03 | 57.87 51.09–64.66 49.42–66.33 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 398 331–466 313–484 | 543 477–610 459–627 | 942 808–1075 772–1111 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.95 76.92–84.98 75.63–86.27 | 87.01 82.68–91.33 81.37–92.64 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 12.47 9.64–15.31 8.88–16.07 | 10.40 7.45–13.34 6.70–14.09 | 22.87 17.09–28.65 15.59–30.16 | 63% 29% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.24 0.62–3.54 | 1.72 0.62–2.81 0.34–3.10 | 3.79 1.54–6.05 0.95–6.64 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.30 | 1.40 0.27–2.52 0.00–2.82 | 3.38 1.21–5.56 0.65–6.12 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.93–4.81 1.55–5.19 | 2.92 1.36–4.48 0.94–4.90 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+