Serie A·Regular Season - 18·
Serie A·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.710.982.69safe0.74–2.680.13–1.840.87–4.52safer0.49–2.930.00–2.070.39–4.99
Shots on target
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.253.348.59safe3.39–7.111.60–5.094.99–12.20safer2.90–7.601.14–5.554.03–13.15
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction15.909.7925.69safe11.97–19.826.23–13.3518.20–33.18safer10.88–20.925.27–14.3116.15–35.23
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction9.695.8015.49safe6.75–12.633.12–8.489.87–21.11safer5.92–13.462.38–9.228.30–22.68
Blocked shots
67%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.882.306.18safe2.00–5.760.64–3.952.64–9.71safer1.45–6.300.15–4.441.61–10.75
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.439.22safe3.57–8.001.43–5.435.00–13.43safer3.00–8.580.89–5.963.90–14.54
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction64.1236.89safe57.33–70.9130.11–43.68safer55.66–72.5828.44–45.35
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction595345940safe527–662278–411806–1073safer509–680261–429770–1109
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction88.3276.36safe84.29–92.3472.03–80.68safer82.99–93.6470.72–81.99
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9513.5724.52safe8.11–13.7910.63–16.5218.74–30.30safer7.36–14.549.88–17.2617.23–31.81
Offsides
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.442.063.50safe0.28–2.600.97–3.151.25–5.75safer0.00–2.900.68–3.440.66–6.34
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.424.08safe0.61–2.711.29–3.551.91–6.26safer0.35–2.981.00–3.841.35–6.82
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
25%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.435.79safe0.92–3.801.87–4.992.80–8.78safer0.54–4.181.45–5.411.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.74–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 0.98 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.69 0.87–4.52 0.39–4.99 | 54% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.25 3.39–7.11 2.90–7.60 | 3.34 1.60–5.09 1.14–5.55 | 8.59 4.99–12.20 4.03–13.15 | 68% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.90 11.97–19.82 10.88–20.92 | 9.79 6.23–13.35 5.27–14.31 | 25.69 18.20–33.18 16.15–35.23 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 9.69 6.75–12.63 5.92–13.46 | 5.80 3.12–8.48 2.38–9.22 | 15.49 9.87–21.11 8.30–22.68 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 3.88 2.00–5.76 1.45–6.30 | 2.30 0.64–3.95 0.15–4.44 | 6.18 2.64–9.71 1.61–10.75 | 67% 14% 20% |
| Corners | 5.79 3.57–8.00 3.00–8.58 | 3.43 1.43–5.43 0.89–5.96 | 9.22 5.00–13.43 3.90–14.54 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 64.12 57.33–70.91 55.66–72.58 | 36.89 30.11–43.68 28.44–45.35 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 595 527–662 509–680 | 345 278–411 261–429 | 940 806–1073 770–1109 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.32 84.29–92.34 82.99–93.64 | 76.36 72.03–80.68 70.72–81.99 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 10.95 8.11–13.79 7.36–14.54 | 13.57 10.63–16.52 9.88–17.26 | 24.52 18.74–30.30 17.23–31.81 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 2.06 0.97–3.15 0.68–3.44 | 3.50 1.25–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 2.42 1.29–3.55 1.00–3.84 | 4.08 1.91–6.26 1.35–6.82 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.80 0.54–4.18 | 3.43 1.87–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 5.79 2.80–8.78 1.99–9.60 | 25% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.