Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
23%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.772.72safe0.00–1.920.91–2.620.90–4.54safer0.00–2.170.68–2.850.42–5.02
Shots on target
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.475.388.86safe1.61–5.343.64–7.135.25–12.46safer1.12–5.833.17–7.594.30–13.42
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6715.3327.00safe7.75–15.6011.77–18.8919.52–34.49safer6.66–16.6910.81–19.8517.46–36.54
Shots in box
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8510.3617.21safe3.91–9.797.68–13.0411.58–22.83safer3.08–10.626.94–13.7710.02–24.40
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.694.027.71safe1.80–5.572.37–5.674.17–11.24safer1.26–6.111.88–6.173.14–12.28
Corners
38%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.555.039.58safe2.34–6.763.03–7.035.36–13.79safer1.76–7.342.49–7.564.26–14.90
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.5457.57safe35.75–49.3350.78–64.35safer34.08–51.0049.11–66.02
Passes
13%
87%
homeawaytotalprediction340474814safe273–407407–540680–947safer255–426390–558644–983
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction75.7182.65safe71.68–79.7478.32–86.97safer70.38–81.0377.01–88.28
Fouls
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3813.1926.57safe10.54–16.2210.24–16.1320.79–32.35safer9.79–16.979.50–16.8819.28–33.86
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.613.23safe0.46–2.780.51–2.700.97–5.48safer0.16–3.080.22–2.990.39–6.07
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.974.20safe1.18–3.280.84–3.102.02–6.38safer0.91–3.540.55–3.391.46–6.93
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
55%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.422.626.03safe1.98–4.851.06–4.173.04–9.02safer1.59–5.240.64–4.602.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.77 0.91–2.62 0.68–2.85 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 20% 23% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.47 1.61–5.34 1.12–5.83 | 5.38 3.64–7.13 3.17–7.59 | 8.86 5.25–12.46 4.30–13.42 | 21% 68% |
| Total shots | 11.67 7.75–15.60 6.66–16.69 | 15.33 11.77–18.89 10.81–19.85 | 27.00 19.52–34.49 17.46–36.54 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 6.85 3.91–9.79 3.08–10.62 | 10.36 7.68–13.04 6.94–13.77 | 17.21 11.58–22.83 10.02–24.40 | 17% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.80–5.57 1.26–6.11 | 4.02 2.37–5.67 1.88–6.17 | 7.71 4.17–11.24 3.14–12.28 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 4.55 2.34–6.76 1.76–7.34 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.49–7.56 | 9.58 5.36–13.79 4.26–14.90 | 38% 50% |
| Possession % | 42.54 35.75–49.33 34.08–51.00 | 57.57 50.78–64.35 49.11–66.02 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 340 273–407 255–426 | 474 407–540 390–558 | 814 680–947 644–983 | 13% 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.71 71.68–79.74 70.38–81.03 | 82.65 78.32–86.97 77.01–88.28 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 13.38 10.54–16.22 9.79–16.97 | 13.19 10.24–16.13 9.50–16.88 | 26.57 20.79–32.35 19.28–33.86 | 48% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.61 0.51–2.70 0.22–2.99 | 3.23 0.97–5.48 0.39–6.07 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.23 1.18–3.28 0.91–3.54 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 4.20 2.02–6.38 1.46–6.93 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.42 1.98–4.85 1.59–5.24 | 2.62 1.06–4.17 0.64–4.60 | 6.03 3.04–9.02 2.23–9.84 | 55% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.