Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
19%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.130.832.96safe1.16–3.100.00–1.681.14–4.78safer0.91–3.350.00–1.910.66–5.26
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.362.969.32safe4.49–8.221.22–4.715.71–12.92safer4.00–8.710.75–5.174.76–13.88
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction17.488.1325.61safe13.56–21.414.57–11.6918.13–33.10safer12.47–22.503.61–12.6516.07–35.15
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.004.8016.80safe9.05–14.942.12–7.4811.17–22.42safer8.22–15.771.38–8.229.60–23.99
Blocked shots
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.682.286.97safe2.80–6.570.63–3.943.43–10.50safer2.26–7.110.14–4.432.39–11.54
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.303.009.30safe4.09–8.521.00–5.005.09–13.51safer3.51–9.090.46–5.533.98–14.62
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.2246.75safe46.43–60.0139.96–53.53safer44.76–61.6838.29–55.21
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction475432907safe408–542365–498773–1041safer390–561348–516738–1076
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction81.1878.74safe77.15–85.2174.41–83.06safer75.86–86.5073.10–84.37
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3111.0524.36safe10.47–16.158.11–14.0018.58–30.15safer9.72–16.907.36–14.7517.08–31.65
Offsides
69%
16%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.681.173.85safe1.52–3.840.08–2.271.60–6.10safer1.21–4.140.00–2.561.01–6.69
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.973.37safe0.34–2.440.85–3.101.19–5.54safer0.08–2.710.55–3.390.63–6.10
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.044.046.08safe0.60–3.482.48–5.593.08–9.07safer0.22–3.862.06–6.022.27–9.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.16–3.10 0.91–3.35 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 67% 19% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.36 4.49–8.22 4.00–8.71 | 2.96 1.22–4.71 0.75–5.17 | 9.32 5.71–12.92 4.76–13.88 | 83% |
| Total shots | 17.48 13.56–21.41 12.47–22.50 | 8.13 4.57–11.69 3.61–12.65 | 25.61 18.13–33.10 16.07–35.15 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.00 9.05–14.94 8.22–15.77 | 4.80 2.12–7.48 1.38–8.22 | 16.80 11.17–22.42 9.60–23.99 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.68 2.80–6.57 2.26–7.11 | 2.28 0.63–3.94 0.14–4.43 | 6.97 3.43–10.50 2.39–11.54 | 77% 13% |
| Corners | 6.30 4.09–8.52 3.51–9.09 | 3.00 1.00–5.00 0.46–5.53 | 9.30 5.09–13.51 3.98–14.62 | 82% |
| Possession % | 53.22 46.43–60.01 44.76–61.68 | 46.75 39.96–53.53 38.29–55.21 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 475 408–542 390–561 | 432 365–498 348–516 | 907 773–1041 738–1076 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.18 77.15–85.21 75.86–86.50 | 78.74 74.41–83.06 73.10–84.37 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 13.31 10.47–16.15 9.72–16.90 | 11.05 8.11–14.00 7.36–14.75 | 24.36 18.58–30.15 17.08–31.65 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 2.68 1.52–3.84 1.21–4.14 | 1.17 0.08–2.27 0.00–2.56 | 3.85 1.60–6.10 1.01–6.69 | 69% 16% 14% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 1.97 0.85–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.37 1.19–5.54 0.63–6.10 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.60–3.48 0.22–3.86 | 4.04 2.48–5.59 2.06–6.02 | 6.08 3.08–9.07 2.27–9.88 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+