Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
21%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.082.083.15safe0.11–2.041.22–2.931.33–4.98safer0.00–2.291.00–3.160.85–5.46
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.965.779.73safe2.09–5.824.03–7.516.12–13.33safer1.60–6.313.56–7.985.17–14.29
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6715.1927.86safe8.74–16.5911.63–18.7520.37–35.35safer7.65–17.6810.67–19.7118.32–37.40
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6510.1917.84safe4.70–10.597.51–12.8712.22–23.46safer3.87–11.426.78–13.6110.65–25.03
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.314.217.53safe1.43–5.192.56–5.873.99–11.06safer0.89–5.742.07–6.362.96–12.10
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.415.289.69safe2.20–6.623.28–7.285.48–13.90safer1.62–7.202.75–7.814.37–15.01
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.5158.89safe34.72–48.3052.11–65.68safer33.05–49.9750.43–67.35
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction395571965safe327–462504–637832–1099safer309–480487–655796–1135
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction84.0289.04safe79.99–88.0584.72–93.36safer78.70–89.3583.41–94.67
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6111.6422.25safe7.77–13.448.70–14.5916.47–28.03safer7.01–14.207.95–15.3414.96–29.54
Offsides
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.693.63safe0.78–3.100.60–2.781.38–5.89safer0.48–3.410.31–3.070.79–6.48
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.843.54safe0.64–2.740.72–2.971.36–5.71safer0.38–3.010.42–3.260.80–6.27
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.666.30safe2.20–5.071.10–4.213.30–9.29safer1.81–5.460.68–4.642.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 2.08 1.22–2.93 1.00–3.16 | 3.15 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.46 | 19% 21% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.96 2.09–5.82 1.60–6.31 | 5.77 4.03–7.51 3.56–7.98 | 9.73 6.12–13.33 5.17–14.29 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 12.67 8.74–16.59 7.65–17.68 | 15.19 11.63–18.75 10.67–19.71 | 27.86 20.37–35.35 18.32–37.40 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 7.65 4.70–10.59 3.87–11.42 | 10.19 7.51–12.87 6.78–13.61 | 17.84 12.22–23.46 10.65–25.03 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.31 1.43–5.19 0.89–5.74 | 4.21 2.56–5.87 2.07–6.36 | 7.53 3.99–11.06 2.96–12.10 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.41 2.20–6.62 1.62–7.20 | 5.28 3.28–7.28 2.75–7.81 | 9.69 5.48–13.90 4.37–15.01 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 41.51 34.72–48.30 33.05–49.97 | 58.89 52.11–65.68 50.43–67.35 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 395 327–462 309–480 | 571 504–637 487–655 | 965 832–1099 796–1135 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.02 79.99–88.05 78.70–89.35 | 89.04 84.72–93.36 83.41–94.67 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 10.61 7.77–13.44 7.01–14.20 | 11.64 8.70–14.59 7.95–15.34 | 22.25 16.47–28.03 14.96–29.54 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.41 | 1.69 0.60–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.63 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 1.84 0.72–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.54 1.36–5.71 0.80–6.27 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.64 2.20–5.07 1.81–5.46 | 2.66 1.10–4.21 0.68–4.64 | 6.30 3.30–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 57% 15% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.