Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.232.46safe0.26–2.200.38–2.090.64–4.29safer0.01–2.450.15–2.320.16–4.77
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.848.02safe2.32–6.042.10–5.594.42–11.63safer1.83–6.531.64–6.053.46–12.58
Total shots
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3710.9324.31safe9.45–17.307.37–14.5016.82–31.79safer8.36–18.396.41–15.4514.77–33.85
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction8.877.7016.57safe5.93–11.815.02–10.3810.95–22.20safer5.10–12.644.28–11.129.38–23.76
Blocked shots
61%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.792.556.34safe1.91–5.670.90–4.202.80–9.87safer1.36–6.210.40–4.691.77–10.91
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.634.4310.07safe3.42–7.852.43–6.435.85–14.28safer2.85–8.421.90–6.974.75–15.39
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.3149.17safe44.52–58.1042.38–55.95safer42.85–59.7740.71–57.63
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction417420837safe350–484353–486703–971safer332–503336–504668–1006
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction80.7580.83safe76.72–84.7876.51–85.16safer75.43–86.0875.20–86.47
Fouls
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1011.5024.60safe10.27–15.948.55–14.4418.82–30.38safer9.51–16.707.81–15.1917.32–31.89
Offsides
16%
15%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.443.014.45safe0.28–2.601.92–4.102.19–6.70safer0.00–2.901.63–4.391.60–7.29
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.843.53safe0.64–2.740.71–2.971.36–5.71safer0.38–3.010.42–3.260.80–6.27
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
35%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.592.965.55safe1.16–4.031.40–4.512.56–8.54safer0.77–4.420.98–4.941.74–9.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.46 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.77 | 36% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.18 2.32–6.04 1.83–6.53 | 3.84 2.10–5.59 1.64–6.05 | 8.02 4.42–11.63 3.46–12.58 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.37 9.45–17.30 8.36–18.39 | 10.93 7.37–14.50 6.41–15.45 | 24.31 16.82–31.79 14.77–33.85 | 65% 27% |
| Shots in box | 8.87 5.93–11.81 5.10–12.64 | 7.70 5.02–10.38 4.28–11.12 | 16.57 10.95–22.20 9.38–23.76 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 2.55 0.90–4.20 0.40–4.69 | 6.34 2.80–9.87 1.77–10.91 | 61% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 5.63 3.42–7.85 2.85–8.42 | 4.43 2.43–6.43 1.90–6.97 | 10.07 5.85–14.28 4.75–15.39 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 51.31 44.52–58.10 42.85–59.77 | 49.17 42.38–55.95 40.71–57.63 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 417 350–484 332–503 | 420 353–486 336–504 | 837 703–971 668–1006 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.75 76.72–84.78 75.43–86.08 | 80.83 76.51–85.16 75.20–86.47 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 13.10 10.27–15.94 9.51–16.70 | 11.50 8.55–14.44 7.81–15.19 | 24.60 18.82–30.38 17.32–31.89 | 59% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 3.01 1.92–4.10 1.63–4.39 | 4.45 2.19–6.70 1.60–7.29 | 16% 15% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.53 1.36–5.71 0.80–6.27 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 2.96 1.40–4.51 0.98–4.94 | 5.55 2.56–8.54 1.74–9.35 | 35% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+