Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.830.962.79safe0.86–2.800.10–1.810.97–4.61safer0.61–3.050.00–2.040.49–5.09
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.873.429.29safe4.01–7.731.68–5.165.68–12.89safer3.52–8.221.21–5.634.73–13.85
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.239.8127.04safe13.30–21.156.25–13.3819.56–34.53safer12.21–22.255.29–14.3417.51–36.58
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.406.2118.61safe9.45–15.343.53–8.8912.99–24.23safer8.62–16.172.80–9.6311.42–25.80
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.702.937.62safe2.81–6.581.28–4.584.09–11.16safer2.27–7.120.78–5.073.05–12.19
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.663.229.87safe4.44–8.871.22–5.225.66–14.09safer3.87–9.450.68–5.754.55–15.19
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.2342.62safe50.44–64.0235.84–49.41safer48.77–65.6934.16–51.08
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5874441031safe520–654378–511898–1165safer502–672360–528862–1201
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction82.5280.10safe78.49–86.5575.78–84.43safer77.20–87.8474.47–85.74
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5410.7621.30safe7.70–13.387.82–13.7115.52–27.08safer6.95–14.137.07–14.4614.02–28.59
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.473.06safe0.43–2.750.38–2.560.80–5.31safer0.13–3.050.09–2.850.21–5.90
Yellow cards
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.813.02safe0.16–2.260.68–2.940.84–5.19safer0.00–2.520.39–3.230.28–5.75
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.123.946.06safe0.69–3.562.38–5.493.07–9.05safer0.30–3.951.96–5.922.26–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.87 4.01–7.73 3.52–8.22 | 3.42 1.68–5.16 1.21–5.63 | 9.29 5.68–12.89 4.73–13.85 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 17.23 13.30–21.15 12.21–22.25 | 9.81 6.25–13.38 5.29–14.34 | 27.04 19.56–34.53 17.51–36.58 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 12.40 9.45–15.34 8.62–16.17 | 6.21 3.53–8.89 2.80–9.63 | 18.61 12.99–24.23 11.42–25.80 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.70 2.81–6.58 2.27–7.12 | 2.93 1.28–4.58 0.78–5.07 | 7.62 4.09–11.16 3.05–12.19 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.66 4.44–8.87 3.87–9.45 | 3.22 1.22–5.22 0.68–5.75 | 9.87 5.66–14.09 4.55–15.19 | 83% |
| Possession % | 57.23 50.44–64.02 48.77–65.69 | 42.62 35.84–49.41 34.16–51.08 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 587 520–654 502–672 | 444 378–511 360–528 | 1031 898–1165 862–1201 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.52 78.49–86.55 77.20–87.84 | 80.10 75.78–84.43 74.47–85.74 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 10.54 7.70–13.38 6.95–14.13 | 10.76 7.82–13.71 7.07–14.46 | 21.30 15.52–27.08 14.02–28.59 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.47 0.38–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 3.06 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.21 0.16–2.26 0.00–2.52 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.02 0.84–5.19 0.28–5.75 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 3.94 2.38–5.49 1.96–5.92 | 6.06 3.07–9.05 2.26–9.86 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+