Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.352.95safe0.64–2.570.50–2.201.13–4.78safer0.38–2.820.27–2.430.65–5.26
Shots on target
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.209.07safe3.01–6.732.46–5.945.46–12.67safer2.52–7.221.99–6.414.51–13.63
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1912.0226.22safe10.27–18.128.46–15.5818.73–33.70safer9.18–19.217.50–16.5416.68–35.75
Shots in box
54%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.637.6816.31safe5.69–11.575.00–10.3610.69–21.93safer4.86–12.404.26–11.109.12–23.50
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.213.417.63safe2.33–6.101.76–5.074.09–11.16safer1.79–6.641.27–5.563.05–12.20
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.444.6410.08safe3.22–7.652.64–6.645.86–14.29safer2.65–8.232.11–7.174.76–15.40
Possession %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction56.7243.59safe49.93–63.5136.81–50.38safer48.26–65.1835.14–52.05
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction505394899safe438–572328–461765–1033safer420–590310–478730–1068
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction86.6081.28safe82.57–90.6376.96–85.60safer81.28–91.9275.65–86.91
Fouls
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3414.8125.16safe7.51–13.1811.87–17.7619.37–30.94safer6.75–13.9411.12–18.5117.87–32.44
Offsides
62%
19%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.233.55safe1.16–3.480.14–2.331.30–5.80safer0.86–3.780.00–2.610.71–6.39
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.203.69safe0.45–2.541.07–3.331.51–5.87safer0.18–2.810.78–3.620.96–6.43
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.803.536.33safe1.36–4.231.97–5.093.33–9.32safer0.97–4.621.55–5.512.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.64–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 1.35 0.50–2.20 0.27–2.43 | 2.95 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.26 | 43% 24% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.87 3.01–6.73 2.52–7.22 | 4.20 2.46–5.94 1.99–6.41 | 9.07 5.46–12.67 4.51–13.63 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.19 10.27–18.12 9.18–19.21 | 12.02 8.46–15.58 7.50–16.54 | 26.22 18.73–33.70 16.68–35.75 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 8.63 5.69–11.57 4.86–12.40 | 7.68 5.00–10.36 4.26–11.10 | 16.31 10.69–21.93 9.12–23.50 | 54% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.33–6.10 1.79–6.64 | 3.41 1.76–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 7.63 4.09–11.16 3.05–12.20 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 5.44 3.22–7.65 2.65–8.23 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.11–7.17 | 10.08 5.86–14.29 4.76–15.40 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 56.72 49.93–63.51 48.26–65.18 | 43.59 36.81–50.38 35.14–52.05 | — | 76% 20% |
| Passes | 505 438–572 420–590 | 394 328–461 310–478 | 899 765–1033 730–1068 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.60 82.57–90.63 81.28–91.92 | 81.28 76.96–85.60 75.65–86.91 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 10.34 7.51–13.18 6.75–13.94 | 14.81 11.87–17.76 11.12–18.51 | 25.16 19.37–30.94 17.87–32.44 | 16% 79% |
| Offsides | 2.32 1.16–3.48 0.86–3.78 | 1.23 0.14–2.33 0.00–2.61 | 3.55 1.30–5.80 0.71–6.39 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.45–2.54 0.18–2.81 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 3.69 1.51–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.36–4.23 0.97–4.62 | 3.53 1.97–5.09 1.55–5.51 | 6.33 3.33–9.32 2.52–10.13 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.