Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
20%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction0.892.113.01safe0.00–1.861.26–2.971.19–4.83safer0.00–2.111.03–3.200.71–5.31
Shots on target
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.055.778.83safe1.19–4.924.03–7.525.22–12.43safer0.70–5.413.57–7.984.27–13.39
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction8.9715.7924.76safe5.05–12.9012.23–19.3517.27–32.25safer3.96–13.9911.27–20.3115.22–34.30
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction5.1410.9616.10safe2.20–8.088.28–13.6410.48–21.72safer1.37–8.917.54–14.388.91–23.29
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.354.206.56safe0.47–4.242.55–5.863.02–10.09safer0.00–4.782.06–6.351.99–11.13
Corners
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.165.648.81safe0.95–5.383.64–7.644.59–13.02safer0.37–5.953.11–8.183.49–14.13
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.5657.51safe36.77–50.3550.72–64.29safer35.10–52.0249.05–65.96
Passes
16%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction412529941safe345–479462–595807–1074safer327–497445–613771–1110
Pass accuracy %
24%
71%
homeawayprediction77.1582.00safe73.12–81.1877.68–86.33safer71.83–82.4776.37–87.64
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5513.3224.87safe8.71–14.3810.38–16.2619.08–30.65safer7.95–15.149.63–17.0117.58–32.15
Offsides
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.584.38safe0.63–2.961.49–3.682.12–6.63safer0.33–3.261.20–3.961.54–7.22
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.052.094.14safe1.00–3.100.96–3.221.96–6.32safer0.73–3.360.67–3.511.40–6.87
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
74%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.382.206.58safe2.95–5.820.65–3.763.59–9.58safer2.56–6.210.22–4.182.78–10.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.11 | 2.11 1.26–2.97 1.03–3.20 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 15% 20% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.05 1.19–4.92 0.70–5.41 | 5.77 4.03–7.52 3.57–7.98 | 8.83 5.22–12.43 4.27–13.39 | 14% 77% |
| Total shots | 8.97 5.05–12.90 3.96–13.99 | 15.79 12.23–19.35 11.27–20.31 | 24.76 17.27–32.25 15.22–34.30 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 5.14 2.20–8.08 1.37–8.91 | 10.96 8.28–13.64 7.54–14.38 | 16.10 10.48–21.72 8.91–23.29 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 2.35 0.47–4.24 0.00–4.78 | 4.20 2.55–5.86 2.06–6.35 | 6.56 3.02–10.09 1.99–11.13 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 3.16 0.95–5.38 0.37–5.95 | 5.64 3.64–7.64 3.11–8.18 | 8.81 4.59–13.02 3.49–14.13 | 15% 75% |
| Possession % | 43.56 36.77–50.35 35.10–52.02 | 57.51 50.72–64.29 49.05–65.96 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 412 345–479 327–497 | 529 462–595 445–613 | 941 807–1074 771–1110 | 16% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.15 73.12–81.18 71.83–82.47 | 82.00 77.68–86.33 76.37–87.64 | — | 24% 71% |
| Fouls | 11.55 8.71–14.38 7.95–15.14 | 13.32 10.38–16.26 9.63–17.01 | 24.87 19.08–30.65 17.58–32.15 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.96 0.33–3.26 | 2.58 1.49–3.68 1.20–3.96 | 4.38 2.12–6.63 1.54–7.22 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.73–3.36 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 4.14 1.96–6.32 1.40–6.87 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.38 2.95–5.82 2.56–6.21 | 2.20 0.65–3.76 0.22–4.18 | 6.58 3.59–9.58 2.78–10.39 | 74% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.