Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.192.65safe0.49–2.430.34–2.050.83–4.48safer0.24–2.680.11–2.280.35–4.95
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.183.538.71safe3.31–7.041.79–5.285.10–12.31safer2.82–7.531.32–5.744.15–13.27
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction13.649.6823.32safe9.71–17.566.12–13.2415.83–30.81safer8.62–18.665.16–14.2013.78–32.86
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction9.505.8615.35safe6.55–12.443.18–8.549.73–20.98safer5.72–13.272.44–9.288.16–22.54
Blocked shots
58%
16%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.382.365.74safe1.50–5.270.70–4.012.20–9.27safer0.96–5.810.21–4.501.17–10.31
Corners
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.063.598.65safe2.85–7.281.59–5.594.43–12.86safer2.28–7.851.05–6.123.33–13.97
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction47.3152.20safe40.52–54.1045.42–58.99safer38.85–55.7743.75–60.66
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction450495945safe383–517429–562811–1079safer364–535411–579776–1114
Pass accuracy %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction80.7983.77safe76.76–84.8279.45–88.09safer75.47–86.1278.14–89.40
Fouls
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9811.0825.06safe11.15–16.828.14–14.0319.28–30.85safer10.39–17.587.39–14.7717.78–32.35
Offsides
68%
15%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction3.051.544.59safe1.89–4.210.44–2.632.34–6.84safer1.59–4.520.15–2.921.75–7.43
Yellow cards
36%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.062.314.36safe1.01–3.111.18–3.432.19–6.54safer0.74–3.370.89–3.731.63–7.10
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.25safe0.00–0.290.00–0.300.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.88
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.303.255.56safe0.87–3.741.70–4.812.57–8.55safer0.48–4.131.27–5.231.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.19 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 2.65 0.83–4.48 0.35–4.95 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.18 3.31–7.04 2.82–7.53 | 3.53 1.79–5.28 1.32–5.74 | 8.71 5.10–12.31 4.15–13.27 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 13.64 9.71–17.56 8.62–18.66 | 9.68 6.12–13.24 5.16–14.20 | 23.32 15.83–30.81 13.78–32.86 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 9.50 6.55–12.44 5.72–13.27 | 5.86 3.18–8.54 2.44–9.28 | 15.35 9.73–20.98 8.16–22.54 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 3.38 1.50–5.27 0.96–5.81 | 2.36 0.70–4.01 0.21–4.50 | 5.74 2.20–9.27 1.17–10.31 | 58% 16% 26% |
| Corners | 5.06 2.85–7.28 2.28–7.85 | 3.59 1.59–5.59 1.05–6.12 | 8.65 4.43–12.86 3.33–13.97 | 63% 25% |
| Possession % | 47.31 40.52–54.10 38.85–55.77 | 52.20 45.42–58.99 43.75–60.66 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 450 383–517 364–535 | 495 429–562 411–579 | 945 811–1079 776–1114 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.79 76.76–84.82 75.47–86.12 | 83.77 79.45–88.09 78.14–89.40 | — | 33% 63% |
| Fouls | 13.98 11.15–16.82 10.39–17.58 | 11.08 8.14–14.03 7.39–14.77 | 25.06 19.28–30.85 17.78–32.35 | 68% 25% |
| Offsides | 3.05 1.89–4.21 1.59–4.52 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.92 | 4.59 2.34–6.84 1.75–7.43 | 68% 15% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.74–3.37 | 2.31 1.18–3.43 0.89–3.73 | 4.36 2.19–6.54 1.63–7.10 | 36% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.87–3.74 0.48–4.13 | 3.25 1.70–4.81 1.27–5.23 | 5.56 2.57–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.