Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
26%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.550.992.54safe0.58–2.520.14–1.850.72–4.36safer0.33–2.770.00–2.070.24–4.84
Shots on target
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.233.328.55safe3.36–7.091.58–5.074.95–12.16safer2.88–7.581.11–5.533.99–13.11
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.699.9025.59safe11.77–19.626.33–13.4618.10–33.07safer10.67–20.715.37–14.4216.05–35.13
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.656.7317.38safe7.71–13.594.05–9.4111.76–23.00safer6.88–14.423.31–10.1510.19–24.57
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.322.757.07safe2.44–6.211.09–4.403.54–10.61safer1.90–6.750.60–4.892.50–11.64
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.633.869.49safe3.41–7.841.86–5.865.27–13.70safer2.84–8.411.33–6.394.17–14.81
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.0642.42safe50.27–63.8535.63–49.20safer48.60–65.5233.96–50.87
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction517374891safe450–584307–440757–1024safer432–602290–458721–1060
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction84.7675.74safe80.73–88.7971.42–80.07safer79.44–90.0870.11–81.38
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8212.3926.21safe10.98–16.669.45–15.3420.43–31.99safer10.23–17.418.70–16.0918.92–33.50
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.543.43safe0.73–3.050.44–2.631.18–5.68safer0.43–3.360.16–2.920.59–6.27
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.143.84safe0.65–2.751.01–3.271.66–6.01safer0.38–3.010.72–3.561.10–6.57
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.183.615.79safe0.75–3.622.05–5.162.80–8.78safer0.36–4.011.62–5.591.99–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 0.99 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.07 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 50% 26% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.23 3.36–7.09 2.88–7.58 | 3.32 1.58–5.07 1.11–5.53 | 8.55 4.95–12.16 3.99–13.11 | 68% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.69 11.77–19.62 10.67–20.71 | 9.90 6.33–13.46 5.37–14.42 | 25.59 18.10–33.07 16.05–35.13 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.65 7.71–13.59 6.88–14.42 | 6.73 4.05–9.41 3.31–10.15 | 17.38 11.76–23.00 10.19–24.57 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.44–6.21 1.90–6.75 | 2.75 1.09–4.40 0.60–4.89 | 7.07 3.54–10.61 2.50–11.64 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 5.63 3.41–7.84 2.84–8.41 | 3.86 1.86–5.86 1.33–6.39 | 9.49 5.27–13.70 4.17–14.81 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 57.06 50.27–63.85 48.60–65.52 | 42.42 35.63–49.20 33.96–50.87 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 517 450–584 432–602 | 374 307–440 290–458 | 891 757–1024 721–1060 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.76 80.73–88.79 79.44–90.08 | 75.74 71.42–80.07 70.11–81.38 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 13.82 10.98–16.66 10.23–17.41 | 12.39 9.45–15.34 8.70–16.09 | 26.21 20.43–31.99 18.92–33.50 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.36 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.43 1.18–5.68 0.59–6.27 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 3.84 1.66–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.18 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 3.61 2.05–5.16 1.62–5.59 | 5.79 2.80–8.78 1.99–9.59 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.