Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.312.62safe0.34–2.280.46–2.170.80–4.44safer0.09–2.530.23–2.400.32–4.92
Shots on target
44%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.564.519.07safe2.70–6.422.77–6.255.47–12.68safer2.21–6.912.30–6.724.51–13.63
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4913.2727.76safe10.57–18.429.71–16.8320.28–35.25safer9.48–19.518.75–17.7918.23–37.30
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.688.0316.71safe5.74–11.635.35–10.7111.09–22.34safer4.91–12.454.61–11.459.52–23.90
Blocked shots
49%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.547.51safe2.09–5.851.89–5.203.98–11.05safer1.54–6.391.40–5.692.94–12.08
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.374.8310.20safe3.16–7.582.83–6.835.99–14.42safer2.58–8.162.30–7.374.88–15.52
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.4652.22safe40.67–54.2545.43–59.00safer39.00–55.9243.76–60.67
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction455495950safe388–523428–561817–1084safer370–541411–579781–1120
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction84.9686.71safe80.93–88.9982.39–91.03safer79.63–90.2881.08–92.34
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7910.2923.08safe9.95–15.637.34–13.2317.30–28.86safer9.20–16.396.59–13.9815.79–30.37
Offsides
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.282.84safe0.40–2.720.18–2.370.59–5.09safer0.10–3.030.00–2.660.00–5.68
Yellow cards
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.793.74safe0.91–3.000.66–2.911.56–5.92safer0.64–3.270.37–3.211.00–6.48
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.133.246.37safe1.69–4.561.68–4.793.37–9.36safer1.31–4.951.26–5.222.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.31 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.56 2.70–6.42 2.21–6.91 | 4.51 2.77–6.25 2.30–6.72 | 9.07 5.47–12.68 4.51–13.63 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Total shots | 14.49 10.57–18.42 9.48–19.51 | 13.27 9.71–16.83 8.75–17.79 | 27.76 20.28–35.25 18.23–37.30 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 8.68 5.74–11.63 4.91–12.45 | 8.03 5.35–10.71 4.61–11.45 | 16.71 11.09–22.34 9.52–23.90 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.85 1.54–6.39 | 3.54 1.89–5.20 1.40–5.69 | 7.51 3.98–11.05 2.94–12.08 | 49% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.37 3.16–7.58 2.58–8.16 | 4.83 2.83–6.83 2.30–7.37 | 10.20 5.99–14.42 4.88–15.52 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 47.46 40.67–54.25 39.00–55.92 | 52.22 45.43–59.00 43.76–60.67 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 455 388–523 370–541 | 495 428–561 411–579 | 950 817–1084 781–1120 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.96 80.93–88.99 79.63–90.28 | 86.71 82.39–91.03 81.08–92.34 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 12.79 9.95–15.63 9.20–16.39 | 10.29 7.34–13.23 6.59–13.98 | 23.08 17.30–28.86 15.79–30.37 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.03 | 1.28 0.18–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 2.84 0.59–5.09 0.00–5.68 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.91–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 1.79 0.66–2.91 0.37–3.21 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.00–6.48 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.13 1.69–4.56 1.31–4.95 | 3.24 1.68–4.79 1.26–5.22 | 6.37 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.