Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
20%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.023.11safe1.12–3.060.17–1.881.29–4.94safer0.87–3.310.00–2.110.81–5.42
Shots on target
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.443.559.99safe4.57–8.301.81–5.296.38–13.59safer4.08–8.791.34–5.765.42–14.55
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.349.8827.22safe13.41–21.266.32–13.4519.73–34.71safer12.32–22.355.36–14.4017.68–36.76
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.226.5917.81safe8.28–14.163.91–9.2812.19–23.44safer7.45–14.993.18–10.0110.62–25.00
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.932.437.36safe3.05–6.820.78–4.083.83–10.90safer2.51–7.360.29–4.582.79–11.94
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.143.629.76safe3.93–8.361.62–5.625.55–13.97safer3.35–8.931.08–6.154.44–15.08
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction60.1541.11safe53.36–66.9434.33–47.90safer51.69–68.6132.66–49.57
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction540368908safe473–608301–434774–1042safer455–626284–452739–1077
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction85.0879.33safe81.05–89.1175.01–83.66safer79.76–90.4073.70–84.97
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0012.1125.11safe10.16–15.849.17–15.0619.33–30.89safer9.41–16.598.42–15.8117.83–32.40
Offsides
24%
18%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.654.37safe0.56–2.881.56–3.752.12–6.63safer0.26–3.181.27–4.031.53–7.21
Yellow cards
36%
19%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.222.504.73safe1.18–3.271.37–3.632.55–6.91safer0.91–3.541.08–3.921.99–7.46
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.354.246.59safe0.92–3.792.68–5.793.60–9.58safer0.53–4.182.26–6.222.79–10.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.09 1.12–3.06 0.87–3.31 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 3.11 1.29–4.94 0.81–5.42 | 62% 20% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.44 4.57–8.30 4.08–8.79 | 3.55 1.81–5.29 1.34–5.76 | 9.99 6.38–13.59 5.42–14.55 | 78% 14% |
| Total shots | 17.34 13.41–21.26 12.32–22.35 | 9.88 6.32–13.45 5.36–14.40 | 27.22 19.73–34.71 17.68–36.76 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.22 8.28–14.16 7.45–14.99 | 6.59 3.91–9.28 3.18–10.01 | 17.81 12.19–23.44 10.62–25.00 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.93 3.05–6.82 2.51–7.36 | 2.43 0.78–4.08 0.29–4.58 | 7.36 3.83–10.90 2.79–11.94 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.14 3.93–8.36 3.35–8.93 | 3.62 1.62–5.62 1.08–6.15 | 9.76 5.55–13.97 4.44–15.08 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 60.15 53.36–66.94 51.69–68.61 | 41.11 34.33–47.90 32.66–49.57 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 540 473–608 455–626 | 368 301–434 284–452 | 908 774–1042 739–1077 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.08 81.05–89.11 79.76–90.40 | 79.33 75.01–83.66 73.70–84.97 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 13.00 10.16–15.84 9.41–16.59 | 12.11 9.17–15.06 8.42–15.81 | 25.11 19.33–30.89 17.83–32.40 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 2.65 1.56–3.75 1.27–4.03 | 4.37 2.12–6.63 1.53–7.21 | 24% 18% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 2.22 1.18–3.27 0.91–3.54 | 2.50 1.37–3.63 1.08–3.92 | 4.73 2.55–6.91 1.99–7.46 | 36% 19% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 4.24 2.68–5.79 2.26–6.22 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.79–10.40 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+