Serie A·Regular Season - 19·
Serie A·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
22%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.830.822.65safe0.87–2.800.00–1.670.83–4.47safer0.61–3.050.00–1.900.35–4.95
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.402.928.32safe3.53–7.261.18–4.674.72–11.93safer3.04–7.750.72–5.133.76–12.88
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction16.708.8525.55safe12.78–20.635.29–12.4118.06–33.04safer11.69–21.724.33–13.3716.01–35.09
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.775.3716.14safe7.83–13.712.69–8.0510.52–21.77safer7.00–14.541.95–8.798.95–23.33
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.182.426.60safe2.30–6.060.77–4.083.07–10.14safer1.75–6.600.28–4.572.03–11.17
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.959.87safe3.71–8.141.95–5.955.66–14.08safer3.13–8.711.41–6.484.55–15.19
Possession %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction56.7743.56safe49.98–63.5636.77–50.34safer48.31–65.2335.10–52.01
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction477368845safe410–545301–434711–979safer392–563284–452676–1014
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction78.4473.14safe74.41–82.4768.82–77.46safer73.12–83.7667.51–78.77
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5512.6224.17safe8.72–14.399.68–15.5718.39–29.96safer7.96–15.158.93–16.3116.89–31.46
Offsides
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.181.164.34safe2.02–4.340.07–2.252.09–6.59safer1.72–4.640.00–2.541.50–7.18
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.943.44safe0.45–2.550.81–3.071.26–5.62safer0.18–2.810.52–3.360.70–6.17
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
17%
13%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.093.845.93safe0.65–3.522.29–5.402.94–8.92safer0.26–3.911.86–5.822.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.87–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 0.82 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 62% 22% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.40 3.53–7.26 3.04–7.75 | 2.92 1.18–4.67 0.72–5.13 | 8.32 4.72–11.93 3.76–12.88 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 16.70 12.78–20.63 11.69–21.72 | 8.85 5.29–12.41 4.33–13.37 | 25.55 18.06–33.04 16.01–35.09 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 10.77 7.83–13.71 7.00–14.54 | 5.37 2.69–8.05 1.95–8.79 | 16.14 10.52–21.77 8.95–23.33 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.06 1.75–6.60 | 2.42 0.77–4.08 0.28–4.57 | 6.60 3.07–10.14 2.03–11.17 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 5.92 3.71–8.14 3.13–8.71 | 3.95 1.95–5.95 1.41–6.48 | 9.87 5.66–14.08 4.55–15.19 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 56.77 49.98–63.56 48.31–65.23 | 43.56 36.77–50.34 35.10–52.01 | — | 76% 20% |
| Passes | 477 410–545 392–563 | 368 301–434 284–452 | 845 711–979 676–1014 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.44 74.41–82.47 73.12–83.76 | 73.14 68.82–77.46 67.51–78.77 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 11.55 8.72–14.39 7.96–15.15 | 12.62 9.68–15.57 8.93–16.31 | 24.17 18.39–29.96 16.89–31.46 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 3.18 2.02–4.34 1.72–4.64 | 1.16 0.07–2.25 0.00–2.54 | 4.34 2.09–6.59 1.50–7.18 | 77% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.18–2.81 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.44 1.26–5.62 0.70–6.17 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.09 0.65–3.52 0.26–3.91 | 3.84 2.29–5.40 1.86–5.82 | 5.93 2.94–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 17% 13% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.