Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
23%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.862.88safe0.05–1.991.00–2.711.05–4.70safer0.00–2.240.77–2.940.57–5.18
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.005.779.77safe2.14–5.874.02–7.516.16–13.37safer1.65–6.353.56–7.985.21–14.33
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5114.6227.13safe8.59–16.4411.06–18.1819.64–34.62safer7.49–17.5310.10–19.1417.59–36.67
Shots in box
21%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction6.999.8316.82safe4.04–9.937.15–12.5111.19–22.44safer3.21–10.766.41–13.259.63–24.01
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.524.057.57safe1.64–5.402.40–5.704.04–11.11safer1.10–5.951.90–6.203.00–12.14
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.635.209.83safe2.41–6.843.20–7.205.61–14.04safer1.84–7.412.67–7.734.51–15.15
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.4553.63safe39.66–53.2446.85–60.42safer37.99–54.9145.18–62.09
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction436511947safe369–504444–577813–1081safer351–522427–595777–1116
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction82.4786.86safe78.44–86.5082.53–91.18safer77.15–87.7981.22–92.49
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9012.6624.56safe9.06–14.749.72–15.6118.78–30.35safer8.31–15.498.97–16.3617.28–31.85
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.883.95safe0.91–3.230.78–2.971.69–6.20safer0.61–3.530.50–3.261.11–6.79
Yellow cards
42%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.593.33safe0.69–2.790.46–2.721.15–5.50safer0.42–3.050.17–3.010.59–6.06
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.80
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.472.876.35safe2.04–4.911.31–4.433.35–9.34safer1.65–5.300.89–4.852.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.05–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 1.86 1.00–2.71 0.77–2.94 | 2.88 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 20% 23% 57% |
| Shots on target | 4.00 2.14–5.87 1.65–6.35 | 5.77 4.02–7.51 3.56–7.98 | 9.77 6.16–13.37 5.21–14.33 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 12.51 8.59–16.44 7.49–17.53 | 14.62 11.06–18.18 10.10–19.14 | 27.13 19.64–34.62 17.59–36.67 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 6.99 4.04–9.93 3.21–10.76 | 9.83 7.15–12.51 6.41–13.25 | 16.82 11.19–22.44 9.63–24.01 | 21% 72% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.40 1.10–5.95 | 4.05 2.40–5.70 1.90–6.20 | 7.57 4.04–11.11 3.00–12.14 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.63 2.41–6.84 1.84–7.41 | 5.20 3.20–7.20 2.67–7.73 | 9.83 5.61–14.04 4.51–15.15 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 46.45 39.66–53.24 37.99–54.91 | 53.63 46.85–60.42 45.18–62.09 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 436 369–504 351–522 | 511 444–577 427–595 | 947 813–1081 777–1116 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.47 78.44–86.50 77.15–87.79 | 86.86 82.53–91.18 81.22–92.49 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 11.90 9.06–14.74 8.31–15.49 | 12.66 9.72–15.61 8.97–16.36 | 24.56 18.78–30.35 17.28–31.85 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 1.88 0.78–2.97 0.50–3.26 | 3.95 1.69–6.20 1.11–6.79 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 1.59 0.46–2.72 0.17–3.01 | 3.33 1.15–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 42% 23% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.47 2.04–4.91 1.65–5.30 | 2.87 1.31–4.43 0.89–4.85 | 6.35 3.35–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+