Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
19%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.140.842.98safe1.18–3.110.00–1.691.16–4.80safer0.92–3.360.00–1.920.68–5.28
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.472.939.40safe4.61–8.331.18–4.675.79–13.00safer4.12–8.820.72–5.144.83–13.96
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.267.9526.21safe14.34–22.194.39–11.5118.72–33.70safer13.25–23.283.43–12.4716.67–35.75
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction11.594.6616.24safe8.65–14.531.97–7.3410.62–21.87safer7.82–15.361.24–8.079.05–23.43
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.402.006.40safe2.51–6.280.35–3.662.87–9.94safer1.97–6.820.00–4.151.83–10.97
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.283.089.37safe4.07–8.501.08–5.085.15–13.58safer3.50–9.070.55–5.624.05–14.69
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.2740.71safe52.48–66.0633.93–47.50safer50.81–67.7332.25–49.17
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction567388954safe500–634321–454821–1088safer481–652304–472785–1124
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction89.5083.42safe85.47–93.5379.10–87.75safer84.18–94.8277.79–89.05
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7312.0523.78safe8.89–14.579.11–15.0018.00–29.57safer8.14–15.338.36–15.7416.50–31.07
Offsides
46%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.854.01safe0.99–3.310.76–2.951.75–6.26safer0.69–3.610.47–3.241.16–6.85
Yellow cards
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.113.50safe0.34–2.440.98–3.241.32–5.68safer0.07–2.710.69–3.530.76–6.24
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.014.056.07safe0.58–3.452.50–5.613.08–9.06safer0.19–3.842.07–6.032.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.14 1.18–3.11 0.92–3.36 | 0.84 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 2.98 1.16–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 67% 19% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.47 4.61–8.33 4.12–8.82 | 2.93 1.18–4.67 0.72–5.14 | 9.40 5.79–13.00 4.83–13.96 | 84% |
| Total shots | 18.26 14.34–22.19 13.25–23.28 | 7.95 4.39–11.51 3.43–12.47 | 26.21 18.72–33.70 16.67–35.75 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 11.59 8.65–14.53 7.82–15.36 | 4.66 1.97–7.34 1.24–8.07 | 16.24 10.62–21.87 9.05–23.43 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.40 2.51–6.28 1.97–6.82 | 2.00 0.35–3.66 0.00–4.15 | 6.40 2.87–9.94 1.83–10.97 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.28 4.07–8.50 3.50–9.07 | 3.08 1.08–5.08 0.55–5.62 | 9.37 5.15–13.58 4.05–14.69 | 81% |
| Possession % | 59.27 52.48–66.06 50.81–67.73 | 40.71 33.93–47.50 32.25–49.17 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 567 500–634 481–652 | 388 321–454 304–472 | 954 821–1088 785–1124 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 89.50 85.47–93.53 84.18–94.82 | 83.42 79.10–87.75 77.79–89.05 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 11.73 8.89–14.57 8.14–15.33 | 12.05 9.11–15.00 8.36–15.74 | 23.78 18.00–29.57 16.50–31.07 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.85 0.76–2.95 0.47–3.24 | 4.01 1.75–6.26 1.16–6.85 | 46% 20% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.07–2.71 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.76–6.24 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.01 0.58–3.45 0.19–3.84 | 4.05 2.50–5.61 2.07–6.03 | 6.07 3.08–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.