Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.772.99safe0.25–2.190.91–2.621.17–4.81safer0.00–2.440.68–2.850.69–5.29
Shots on target
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.064.999.05safe2.20–5.923.25–6.735.44–12.65safer1.71–6.412.78–7.204.49–13.61
Total shots
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5113.3324.84safe7.58–15.439.77–16.9017.35–32.33safer6.49–16.528.81–17.8615.30–34.38
Shots in box
25%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction7.049.3216.36safe4.10–9.996.63–12.0010.74–21.98safer3.27–10.815.90–12.739.17–23.55
Blocked shots
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.203.466.66safe1.32–5.091.81–5.113.13–10.20safer0.78–5.631.32–5.612.09–11.24
Corners
34%
13%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.164.899.05safe1.95–6.372.89–6.894.83–13.26safer1.37–6.952.35–7.423.73–14.37
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction51.1550.82safe44.36–57.9444.04–57.61safer42.69–59.6142.37–59.28
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction476494970safe409–544427–560837–1104safer391–562410–578801–1140
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction81.9180.68safe77.88–85.9476.36–85.00safer76.58–87.2375.05–86.31
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2313.7624.99safe8.40–14.0710.81–16.7019.21–30.77safer7.64–14.8310.07–17.4517.70–32.28
Offsides
24%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.474.07safe0.44–2.761.37–3.561.81–6.32safer0.14–3.061.08–3.851.23–6.91
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.233.87safe0.60–2.701.10–3.361.70–6.05safer0.33–2.960.81–3.651.14–6.61
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.302.896.20safe1.87–4.741.34–4.453.20–9.19safer1.48–5.130.91–4.882.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.77 0.91–2.62 0.68–2.85 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 26% 23% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.06 2.20–5.92 1.71–6.41 | 4.99 3.25–6.73 2.78–7.20 | 9.05 5.44–12.65 4.49–13.61 | 32% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.51 7.58–15.43 6.49–16.52 | 13.33 9.77–16.90 8.81–17.86 | 24.84 17.35–32.33 15.30–34.38 | 32% 60% |
| Shots in box | 7.04 4.10–9.99 3.27–10.81 | 9.32 6.63–12.00 5.90–12.73 | 16.36 10.74–21.98 9.17–23.55 | 25% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.20 1.32–5.09 0.78–5.63 | 3.46 1.81–5.11 1.32–5.61 | 6.66 3.13–10.20 2.09–11.24 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Corners | 4.16 1.95–6.37 1.37–6.95 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.35–7.42 | 9.05 4.83–13.26 3.73–14.37 | 34% 13% 53% |
| Possession % | 51.15 44.36–57.94 42.69–59.61 | 50.82 44.04–57.61 42.37–59.28 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 476 409–544 391–562 | 494 427–560 410–578 | 970 837–1104 801–1140 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.91 77.88–85.94 76.58–87.23 | 80.68 76.36–85.00 75.05–86.31 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 11.23 8.40–14.07 7.64–14.83 | 13.76 10.81–16.70 10.07–17.45 | 24.99 19.21–30.77 17.70–32.28 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 2.47 1.37–3.56 1.08–3.85 | 4.07 1.81–6.32 1.23–6.91 | 24% 19% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.33–2.96 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 3.87 1.70–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.87–4.74 1.48–5.13 | 2.89 1.34–4.45 0.91–4.88 | 6.20 3.20–9.19 2.39–10.00 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+