Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
19%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction0.942.243.18safe0.00–1.911.38–3.091.35–5.00safer0.00–2.161.15–3.320.87–5.48
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.506.9410.44safe1.64–5.365.20–8.696.84–14.05safer1.15–5.854.73–9.155.88–15.00
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8217.9228.74safe6.90–14.7514.36–21.4821.26–36.23safer5.81–15.8413.40–22.4419.20–38.28
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7911.1317.92safe3.84–9.738.45–13.8112.29–23.54safer3.01–10.567.71–14.5510.73–25.11
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.604.497.09safe0.72–4.482.84–6.143.56–10.63safer0.18–5.032.34–6.642.52–11.66
Corners
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction4.036.3510.38safe1.82–6.244.35–8.356.17–14.60safer1.24–6.823.82–8.885.06–15.70
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.7862.24safe31.99–45.5755.45–69.02safer30.32–47.2453.78–70.69
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction366593959safe299–433527–660826–1093safer281–452509–677790–1129
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction77.8685.80safe73.83–81.8981.48–90.13safer72.54–83.1880.17–91.44
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6510.4222.07safe8.81–14.497.47–13.3616.28–27.85safer8.05–15.246.72–14.1114.78–29.35
Offsides
69%
15%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction3.081.514.59safe1.92–4.240.42–2.612.34–6.85safer1.62–4.540.13–2.901.75–7.43
Yellow cards
42%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.633.43safe0.75–2.850.50–2.761.25–5.60safer0.48–3.110.21–3.050.69–6.16
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.070.19safe0.00–0.280.00–0.260.00–0.54safer0.00–0.430.00–0.390.00–0.82
GK saves
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.302.366.66safe2.86–5.740.80–3.923.67–9.65safer2.48–6.120.38–4.342.86–10.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.16 | 2.24 1.38–3.09 1.15–3.32 | 3.18 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.48 | 14% 19% 67% |
| Shots on target | 3.50 1.64–5.36 1.15–5.85 | 6.94 5.20–8.69 4.73–9.15 | 10.44 6.84–14.05 5.88–15.00 | 82% |
| Total shots | 10.82 6.90–14.75 5.81–15.84 | 17.92 14.36–21.48 13.40–22.44 | 28.74 21.26–36.23 19.20–38.28 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 6.79 3.84–9.73 3.01–10.56 | 11.13 8.45–13.81 7.71–14.55 | 17.92 12.29–23.54 10.73–25.11 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 2.60 0.72–4.48 0.18–5.03 | 4.49 2.84–6.14 2.34–6.64 | 7.09 3.56–10.63 2.52–11.66 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 4.03 1.82–6.24 1.24–6.82 | 6.35 4.35–8.35 3.82–8.88 | 10.38 6.17–14.60 5.06–15.70 | 19% 71% |
| Possession % | 38.78 31.99–45.57 30.32–47.24 | 62.24 55.45–69.02 53.78–70.69 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 366 299–433 281–452 | 593 527–660 509–677 | 959 826–1093 790–1129 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.86 73.83–81.89 72.54–83.18 | 85.80 81.48–90.13 80.17–91.44 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 11.65 8.81–14.49 8.05–15.24 | 10.42 7.47–13.36 6.72–14.11 | 22.07 16.28–27.85 14.78–29.35 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 3.08 1.92–4.24 1.62–4.54 | 1.51 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.90 | 4.59 2.34–6.85 1.75–7.43 | 69% 15% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.11 | 1.63 0.50–2.76 0.21–3.05 | 3.43 1.25–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 42% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.30 2.86–5.74 2.48–6.12 | 2.36 0.80–3.92 0.38–4.34 | 6.66 3.67–9.65 2.86–10.47 | 71% 17% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.