Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.402.97safe0.60–2.540.55–2.261.15–4.80safer0.35–2.790.32–2.490.67–5.28
Shots on target
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.609.94safe3.48–7.202.86–6.346.33–13.54safer2.99–7.692.39–6.815.38–14.50
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8613.2829.15safe11.94–19.799.72–16.8421.66–36.63safer10.85–20.888.76–17.8019.61–38.68
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction9.368.7518.11safe6.42–12.316.07–11.4312.49–23.74safer5.59–13.145.33–12.1710.92–25.30
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.263.147.39safe2.37–6.141.49–4.793.86–10.93safer1.83–6.680.99–5.282.82–11.97
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.094.769.85safe2.88–7.312.76–6.765.64–14.06safer2.31–7.882.22–7.294.53–15.17
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.4843.56safe49.69–63.2736.77–50.34safer48.02–64.9435.10–52.01
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction474350825safe407–542284–417691–958safer389–560266–434655–994
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction81.8175.72safe77.78–85.8471.39–80.04safer76.49–87.1370.08–81.35
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9113.2025.10safe9.07–14.7410.25–16.1419.32–30.88safer8.31–15.509.50–16.8917.82–32.39
Offsides
30%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.013.56safe0.38–2.700.92–3.111.30–5.81safer0.08–3.000.63–3.390.71–6.40
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.062.214.27safe1.02–3.111.08–3.342.10–6.45safer0.75–3.380.79–3.631.54–7.01
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.143.776.91safe1.71–4.582.21–5.323.92–9.90safer1.32–4.961.79–5.753.10–10.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.54 0.35–2.79 | 1.40 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.97 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 41% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.34 3.48–7.20 2.99–7.69 | 4.60 2.86–6.34 2.39–6.81 | 9.94 6.33–13.54 5.38–14.50 | 53% 35% |
| Total shots | 15.86 11.94–19.79 10.85–20.88 | 13.28 9.72–16.84 8.76–17.80 | 29.15 21.66–36.63 19.61–38.68 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.36 6.42–12.31 5.59–13.14 | 8.75 6.07–11.43 5.33–12.17 | 18.11 12.49–23.74 10.92–25.30 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 4.26 2.37–6.14 1.83–6.68 | 3.14 1.49–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 7.39 3.86–10.93 2.82–11.97 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.09 2.88–7.31 2.31–7.88 | 4.76 2.76–6.76 2.22–7.29 | 9.85 5.64–14.06 4.53–15.17 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 56.48 49.69–63.27 48.02–64.94 | 43.56 36.77–50.34 35.10–52.01 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 474 407–542 389–560 | 350 284–417 266–434 | 825 691–958 655–994 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.81 77.78–85.84 76.49–87.13 | 75.72 71.39–80.04 70.08–81.35 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 11.91 9.07–14.74 8.31–15.50 | 13.20 10.25–16.14 9.50–16.89 | 25.10 19.32–30.88 17.82–32.39 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 2.01 0.92–3.11 0.63–3.39 | 3.56 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.40 | 30% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.02–3.11 0.75–3.38 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.27 2.10–6.45 1.54–7.01 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.14 1.71–4.58 1.32–4.96 | 3.77 2.21–5.32 1.79–5.75 | 6.91 3.92–9.90 3.10–10.71 | 33% 15% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+