Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.262.56safe0.33–2.260.41–2.120.73–4.38safer0.08–2.510.18–2.340.25–4.86
Shots on target
54%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.763.968.71safe2.89–6.622.22–5.705.11–12.32safer2.40–7.111.75–6.174.15–13.28
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1311.5826.71safe11.21–19.068.02–15.1419.23–34.20safer10.12–20.157.06–16.1017.17–36.25
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.197.0117.20safe7.25–13.134.33–9.6911.58–22.82safer6.42–13.963.59–10.4310.01–24.39
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.863.347.20safe1.98–5.751.68–4.993.67–10.74safer1.44–6.291.19–5.482.63–11.77
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.244.479.71safe3.03–7.462.47–6.475.50–13.93safer2.46–8.031.94–7.004.39–15.03
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.2352.05safe40.43–54.0245.26–58.83safer38.77–55.6943.59–60.50
Passes
39%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction459492951safe391–526426–559817–1085safer373–544408–576782–1120
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction84.2786.02safe80.24–88.3081.70–90.35safer78.95–89.6080.39–91.66
Fouls
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5811.9525.53safe10.74–16.419.01–14.9019.75–31.31safer9.98–17.178.26–15.6518.24–32.82
Offsides
62%
19%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.411.303.71safe1.25–3.570.21–2.391.46–5.96safer0.95–3.870.00–2.680.87–6.55
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.833.71safe0.83–2.930.70–2.961.53–5.89safer0.57–3.200.41–3.250.98–6.45
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.406.04safe1.20–4.071.85–4.963.04–9.03safer0.81–4.461.42–5.382.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.33–2.26 0.08–2.51 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.34 | 2.56 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.86 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.76 2.89–6.62 2.40–7.11 | 3.96 2.22–5.70 1.75–6.17 | 8.71 5.11–12.32 4.15–13.28 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Total shots | 15.13 11.21–19.06 10.12–20.15 | 11.58 8.02–15.14 7.06–16.10 | 26.71 19.23–34.20 17.17–36.25 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 10.19 7.25–13.13 6.42–13.96 | 7.01 4.33–9.69 3.59–10.43 | 17.20 11.58–22.82 10.01–24.39 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.75 1.44–6.29 | 3.34 1.68–4.99 1.19–5.48 | 7.20 3.67–10.74 2.63–11.77 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.03–7.46 2.46–8.03 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.94–7.00 | 9.71 5.50–13.93 4.39–15.03 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 47.23 40.43–54.02 38.77–55.69 | 52.05 45.26–58.83 43.59–60.50 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 459 391–526 373–544 | 492 426–559 408–576 | 951 817–1085 782–1120 | 39% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.27 80.24–88.30 78.95–89.60 | 86.02 81.70–90.35 80.39–91.66 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 13.58 10.74–16.41 9.98–17.17 | 11.95 9.01–14.90 8.26–15.65 | 25.53 19.75–31.31 18.24–32.82 | 59% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.41 1.25–3.57 0.95–3.87 | 1.30 0.21–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 3.71 1.46–5.96 0.87–6.55 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.57–3.20 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.40 1.85–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 6.04 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.