Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.203.01safe0.85–2.780.35–2.061.19–4.84safer0.59–3.030.12–2.280.71–5.32
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.243.7810.02safe4.38–8.102.04–5.526.41–13.62safer3.89–8.591.57–5.995.46–14.58
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7610.7828.54safe13.84–21.697.22–14.3421.06–36.03safer12.75–22.786.26–15.3019.01–38.08
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.647.5819.21safe8.69–14.584.89–10.2613.59–24.83safer7.86–15.414.16–10.9912.02–26.40
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.502.688.18safe3.62–7.381.02–4.334.64–11.71safer3.07–7.930.53–4.823.61–12.75
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.383.7810.17safe4.17–8.601.78–5.785.96–14.38safer3.60–9.171.25–6.324.85–15.49
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.6441.27safe51.85–65.4334.48–48.05safer50.18–67.1032.81–49.72
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction548394943safe481–615328–461809–1076safer463–633310–478773–1112
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction82.1973.53safe78.16–86.2269.21–77.86safer76.87–87.5167.90–79.17
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3411.6121.95safe7.50–13.188.67–14.5616.17–27.73safer6.74–13.937.92–15.3114.67–29.24
Offsides
14%
14%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction1.463.284.74safe0.30–2.622.19–4.372.48–6.99safer0.00–2.921.90–4.661.89–7.58
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.283.86safe0.53–2.631.15–3.411.68–6.03safer0.26–2.890.86–3.701.12–6.59
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.454.186.64safe1.02–3.892.63–5.743.64–9.63safer0.63–4.282.20–6.162.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.81 0.85–2.78 0.59–3.03 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.28 | 3.01 1.19–4.84 0.71–5.32 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 6.24 4.38–8.10 3.89–8.59 | 3.78 2.04–5.52 1.57–5.99 | 10.02 6.41–13.62 5.46–14.58 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 17.76 13.84–21.69 12.75–22.78 | 10.78 7.22–14.34 6.26–15.30 | 28.54 21.06–36.03 19.01–38.08 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.64 8.69–14.58 7.86–15.41 | 7.58 4.89–10.26 4.16–10.99 | 19.21 13.59–24.83 12.02–26.40 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 5.50 3.62–7.38 3.07–7.93 | 2.68 1.02–4.33 0.53–4.82 | 8.18 4.64–11.71 3.61–12.75 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.38 4.17–8.60 3.60–9.17 | 3.78 1.78–5.78 1.25–6.32 | 10.17 5.96–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 58.64 51.85–65.43 50.18–67.10 | 41.27 34.48–48.05 32.81–49.72 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 548 481–615 463–633 | 394 328–461 310–478 | 943 809–1076 773–1112 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.19 78.16–86.22 76.87–87.51 | 73.53 69.21–77.86 67.90–79.17 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.34 7.50–13.18 6.74–13.93 | 11.61 8.67–14.56 7.92–15.31 | 21.95 16.17–27.73 14.67–29.24 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 3.28 2.19–4.37 1.90–4.66 | 4.74 2.48–6.99 1.89–7.58 | 14% 14% 73% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.26–2.89 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 3.86 1.68–6.03 1.12–6.59 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 4.18 2.63–5.74 2.20–6.16 | 6.64 3.64–9.63 2.83–10.44 | 19% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.