Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction0.852.273.12safe0.00–1.821.42–3.121.30–4.94safer0.00–2.071.19–3.350.82–5.42
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.316.279.59safe1.45–5.184.53–8.025.98–13.19safer0.96–5.674.07–8.485.03–14.15
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5217.0526.56safe5.59–13.4413.48–20.6119.08–34.05safer4.50–14.5312.52–21.5717.02–36.10
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.0411.3817.42safe3.10–8.988.70–14.0611.80–23.04safer2.27–9.817.96–14.8010.23–24.61
Blocked shots
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.744.487.22safe0.86–4.622.83–6.133.68–10.75safer0.31–5.162.33–6.622.65–11.79
Corners
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.515.759.25safe1.29–5.723.75–7.755.04–13.47safer0.72–6.303.21–8.283.93–14.57
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.5865.11safe27.79–41.3758.33–71.90safer26.12–43.0456.66–73.57
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction301573875safe234–369507–640741–1008safer216–387489–657705–1044
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction74.5787.67safe70.54–78.6083.35–92.00safer69.25–79.8982.04–93.30
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4310.4222.86safe9.60–15.277.48–13.3717.07–28.64safer8.84–16.036.73–14.1215.57–30.14
Offsides
61%
18%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.621.544.15safe1.46–3.780.44–2.631.90–6.41safer1.15–4.080.16–2.921.31–7.00
Yellow cards
46%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.834.00safe1.12–3.220.70–2.961.82–6.18safer0.85–3.480.41–3.251.27–6.74
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.120.27safe0.00–0.310.00–0.310.00–0.62safer0.00–0.460.00–0.440.00–0.91
GK saves
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.972.416.38safe2.54–5.410.85–3.963.39–9.37safer2.15–5.800.43–4.392.58–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.85 0.00–1.82 0.00–2.07 | 2.27 1.42–3.12 1.19–3.35 | 3.12 1.30–4.94 0.82–5.42 | 18% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.31 1.45–5.18 0.96–5.67 | 6.27 4.53–8.02 4.07–8.48 | 9.59 5.98–13.19 5.03–14.15 | 79% |
| Total shots | 9.52 5.59–13.44 4.50–14.53 | 17.05 13.48–20.61 12.52–21.57 | 26.56 19.08–34.05 17.02–36.10 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 6.04 3.10–8.98 2.27–9.81 | 11.38 8.70–14.06 7.96–14.80 | 17.42 11.80–23.04 10.23–24.61 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 2.74 0.86–4.62 0.31–5.16 | 4.48 2.83–6.13 2.33–6.62 | 7.22 3.68–10.75 2.65–11.79 | 20% 68% |
| Corners | 3.51 1.29–5.72 0.72–6.30 | 5.75 3.75–7.75 3.21–8.28 | 9.25 5.04–13.47 3.93–14.57 | 18% 72% |
| Possession % | 34.58 27.79–41.37 26.12–43.04 | 65.11 58.33–71.90 56.66–73.57 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 301 234–369 216–387 | 573 507–640 489–657 | 875 741–1008 705–1044 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.57 70.54–78.60 69.25–79.89 | 87.67 83.35–92.00 82.04–93.30 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 12.43 9.60–15.27 8.84–16.03 | 10.42 7.48–13.37 6.73–14.12 | 22.86 17.07–28.64 15.57–30.14 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 2.62 1.46–3.78 1.15–4.08 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 4.15 1.90–6.41 1.31–7.00 | 61% 18% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.85–3.48 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 4.00 1.82–6.18 1.27–6.74 | 46% 20% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 3.97 2.54–5.41 2.15–5.80 | 2.41 0.85–3.96 0.43–4.39 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.58–10.18 | 66% 14% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+