Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.242.61safe0.40–2.330.39–2.100.79–4.43safer0.15–2.590.16–2.320.31–4.91
Shots on target
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.514.008.51safe2.65–6.372.26–5.744.90–12.11safer2.16–6.861.79–6.213.95–13.07
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3010.6723.96safe9.37–17.227.10–14.2316.48–31.45safer8.28–18.316.14–15.1914.43–33.50
Shots in box
54%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.177.2615.43safe5.22–11.114.58–9.949.81–21.05safer4.39–11.943.84–10.688.24–22.62
Blocked shots
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.472.766.23safe1.59–5.351.11–4.412.69–9.76safer1.04–5.890.62–4.911.66–10.80
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.883.818.70safe2.67–7.101.81–5.814.48–12.91safer2.10–7.671.28–6.353.38–14.02
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.8843.23safe51.09–64.6736.45–50.02safer49.42–66.3434.77–51.69
Passes
87%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction548414963safe481–615348–481829–1096safer463–634330–498793–1132
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction85.5678.27safe81.53–89.5973.94–82.59safer80.23–90.8872.63–83.90
Fouls
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8414.3124.16safe7.01–12.6811.37–17.2618.38–29.94safer6.25–13.4410.62–18.0116.87–31.45
Offsides
21%
18%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.483.90safe0.25–2.571.39–3.571.64–6.15safer0.00–2.881.10–3.861.05–6.74
Yellow cards
27%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.484.24safe0.71–2.811.36–3.612.06–6.42safer0.44–3.071.06–3.911.51–6.98
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
39%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.782.905.69safe1.35–4.221.35–4.462.69–8.68safer0.96–4.610.92–4.881.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.33 0.15–2.59 | 1.24 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.32 | 2.61 0.79–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.51 2.65–6.37 2.16–6.86 | 4.00 2.26–5.74 1.79–6.21 | 8.51 4.90–12.11 3.95–13.07 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.30 9.37–17.22 8.28–18.31 | 10.67 7.10–14.23 6.14–15.19 | 23.96 16.48–31.45 14.43–33.50 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 8.17 5.22–11.11 4.39–11.94 | 7.26 4.58–9.94 3.84–10.68 | 15.43 9.81–21.05 8.24–22.62 | 54% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.59–5.35 1.04–5.89 | 2.76 1.11–4.41 0.62–4.91 | 6.23 2.69–9.76 1.66–10.80 | 53% 16% 31% |
| Corners | 4.88 2.67–7.10 2.10–7.67 | 3.81 1.81–5.81 1.28–6.35 | 8.70 4.48–12.91 3.38–14.02 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 57.88 51.09–64.67 49.42–66.34 | 43.23 36.45–50.02 34.77–51.69 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 548 481–615 463–634 | 414 348–481 330–498 | 963 829–1096 793–1132 | 87% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.56 81.53–89.59 80.23–90.88 | 78.27 73.94–82.59 72.63–83.90 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 9.84 7.01–12.68 6.25–13.44 | 14.31 11.37–17.26 10.62–18.01 | 24.16 18.38–29.94 16.87–31.45 | 15% 79% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.88 | 2.48 1.39–3.57 1.10–3.86 | 3.90 1.64–6.15 1.05–6.74 | 21% 18% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.44–3.07 | 2.48 1.36–3.61 1.06–3.91 | 4.24 2.06–6.42 1.51–6.98 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 2.90 1.35–4.46 0.92–4.88 | 5.69 2.69–8.68 1.88–9.49 | 39% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+