Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
28%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.320.972.29safe0.35–2.290.12–1.830.47–4.11safer0.10–2.540.00–2.060.00–4.59
Shots on target
53%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.473.768.23safe2.61–6.332.02–5.504.62–11.84safer2.12–6.821.55–5.973.67–12.79
Total shots
67%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0811.4325.51safe10.16–18.017.86–14.9918.02–33.00safer9.07–19.106.90–15.9515.97–35.05
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction8.876.8815.75safe5.92–11.814.20–9.5610.12–21.37safer5.09–12.643.46–10.308.56–22.94
Blocked shots
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.892.966.85safe2.00–5.771.31–4.613.31–10.38safer1.46–6.310.82–5.112.28–11.42
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.694.7110.40safe3.48–7.912.71–6.716.19–14.62safer2.91–8.482.18–7.245.08–15.72
Possession %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction52.7446.88safe45.95–59.5340.10–53.67safer44.28–61.2038.43–55.34
Passes
72%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction496424920safe429–563358–491787–1054safer411–582340–508751–1090
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction85.7183.56safe81.69–89.7479.24–87.89safer80.39–91.0477.93–89.20
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0411.0423.08safe9.20–14.888.10–13.9917.30–28.86safer8.44–15.637.35–14.7415.80–30.37
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.383.22safe0.68–3.000.29–2.470.97–5.47safer0.38–3.300.00–2.760.38–6.06
Yellow cards
35%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.803.44safe0.58–2.680.68–2.931.26–5.61safer0.32–2.950.38–3.220.70–6.17
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.543.115.65safe1.11–3.981.55–4.662.66–8.64safer0.72–4.371.13–5.091.84–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.29 0.47–4.11 0.00–4.59 | 45% 28% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.33 2.12–6.82 | 3.76 2.02–5.50 1.55–5.97 | 8.23 4.62–11.84 3.67–12.79 | 53% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.08 10.16–18.01 9.07–19.10 | 11.43 7.86–14.99 6.90–15.95 | 25.51 18.02–33.00 15.97–35.05 | 67% 27% |
| Shots in box | 8.87 5.92–11.81 5.09–12.64 | 6.88 4.20–9.56 3.46–10.30 | 15.75 10.12–21.37 8.56–22.94 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.00–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 2.96 1.31–4.61 0.82–5.11 | 6.85 3.31–10.38 2.28–11.42 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.69 3.48–7.91 2.91–8.48 | 4.71 2.71–6.71 2.18–7.24 | 10.40 6.19–14.62 5.08–15.72 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 52.74 45.95–59.53 44.28–61.20 | 46.88 40.10–53.67 38.43–55.34 | — | 61% 34% |
| Passes | 496 429–563 411–582 | 424 358–491 340–508 | 920 787–1054 751–1090 | 72% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.71 81.69–89.74 80.39–91.04 | 83.56 79.24–87.89 77.93–89.20 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 12.04 9.20–14.88 8.44–15.63 | 11.04 8.10–13.99 7.35–14.74 | 23.08 17.30–28.86 15.80–30.37 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.38 0.29–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 3.22 0.97–5.47 0.38–6.06 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 1.80 0.68–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.44 1.26–5.61 0.70–6.17 | 35% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.11–3.98 0.72–4.37 | 3.11 1.55–4.66 1.13–5.09 | 5.65 2.66–8.64 1.84–9.45 | 32% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+