Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction0.912.313.22safe0.00–1.881.46–3.161.40–5.04safer0.00–2.131.23–3.390.92–5.52
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.096.029.11safe1.22–4.954.28–7.775.50–12.71safer0.73–5.443.81–8.234.55–13.67
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7215.7825.49safe5.79–13.6412.21–19.3418.01–32.98safer4.70–14.7311.25–20.3015.96–35.03
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.0411.1417.18safe3.10–8.998.46–13.8211.56–22.81safer2.27–9.827.72–14.569.99–24.37
Blocked shots
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.644.507.14safe0.76–4.532.85–6.153.61–10.68safer0.22–5.072.36–6.652.57–11.72
Corners
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.395.568.96safe1.18–5.613.56–7.574.74–13.17safer0.60–6.183.03–8.103.64–14.28
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.8661.09safe33.07–46.6654.30–67.87safer31.40–48.3252.63–69.54
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction354529883safe287–421462–595749–1017safer269–440445–613714–1052
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction72.5981.12safe68.56–76.6276.79–85.44safer67.27–77.9175.48–86.75
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1614.4126.57safe9.32–15.0011.46–17.3520.79–32.35safer8.57–15.7610.71–18.1019.28–33.86
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.683.55safe0.71–3.030.59–2.771.29–5.80safer0.41–3.330.30–3.060.71–6.39
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.783.61safe0.79–2.880.65–2.911.43–5.79safer0.52–3.150.36–3.200.88–6.35
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.952.356.30safe2.52–5.390.79–3.903.31–9.29safer2.13–5.780.37–4.332.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 0.00–1.88 0.00–2.13 | 2.31 1.46–3.16 1.23–3.39 | 3.22 1.40–5.04 0.92–5.52 | 13% 18% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.09 1.22–4.95 0.73–5.44 | 6.02 4.28–7.77 3.81–8.23 | 9.11 5.50–12.71 4.55–13.67 | 79% |
| Total shots | 9.72 5.79–13.64 4.70–14.73 | 15.78 12.21–19.34 11.25–20.30 | 25.49 18.01–32.98 15.96–35.03 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 6.04 3.10–8.99 2.27–9.82 | 11.14 8.46–13.82 7.72–14.56 | 17.18 11.56–22.81 9.99–24.37 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.64 0.76–4.53 0.22–5.07 | 4.50 2.85–6.15 2.36–6.65 | 7.14 3.61–10.68 2.57–11.72 | 19% 69% |
| Corners | 3.39 1.18–5.61 0.60–6.18 | 5.56 3.56–7.57 3.03–8.10 | 8.96 4.74–13.17 3.64–14.28 | 18% 71% |
| Possession % | 39.86 33.07–46.66 31.40–48.32 | 61.09 54.30–67.87 52.63–69.54 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 354 287–421 269–440 | 529 462–595 445–613 | 883 749–1017 714–1052 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.59 68.56–76.62 67.27–77.91 | 81.12 76.79–85.44 75.48–86.75 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.16 9.32–15.00 8.57–15.76 | 14.41 11.46–17.35 10.71–18.10 | 26.57 20.79–32.35 19.28–33.86 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.55 1.29–5.80 0.71–6.39 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.79–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.95 2.52–5.39 2.13–5.78 | 2.35 0.79–3.90 0.37–4.33 | 6.30 3.31–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 67% 13% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+