Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.723.01safe0.32–2.250.87–2.581.18–4.83safer0.06–2.500.64–2.810.70–5.31
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.196.0410.23safe2.32–6.054.30–7.786.62–13.83safer1.83–6.543.83–8.255.66–14.79
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0215.7727.79safe8.09–15.9412.21–19.3320.30–35.28safer7.00–17.0311.25–20.2918.25–37.33
Shots in box
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction8.3610.6319.00safe5.42–11.307.95–13.3113.37–24.62safer4.59–12.137.21–14.0511.81–26.19
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.494.437.92safe1.61–5.372.78–6.084.38–11.46safer1.06–5.912.29–6.583.35–12.49
Corners
41%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.895.1310.01safe2.67–7.103.13–7.135.80–14.23safer2.10–7.672.59–7.664.69–15.33
Possession %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction43.4257.75safe36.63–50.2250.97–64.54safer34.96–51.8849.30–66.21
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction438556994safe371–505489–622860–1127safer353–523472–640824–1163
Pass accuracy %
15%
81%
homeawayprediction79.5486.96safe75.51–83.5782.63–91.28safer74.22–84.8681.32–92.59
Fouls
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction10.319.6219.93safe7.48–13.156.68–12.5714.15–25.72safer6.72–13.915.93–13.3112.65–27.22
Offsides
56%
19%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.411.583.99safe1.25–3.570.49–2.681.73–6.24safer0.94–3.870.20–2.961.14–6.83
Yellow cards
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.583.16safe0.52–2.620.46–2.710.98–5.34safer0.26–2.890.16–3.000.42–5.89
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.060.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.380.00–0.76
GK saves
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.612.816.42safe2.18–5.051.25–4.363.43–9.41safer1.79–5.440.83–4.792.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.32–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.72 0.87–2.58 0.64–2.81 | 3.01 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 29% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.19 2.32–6.05 1.83–6.54 | 6.04 4.30–7.78 3.83–8.25 | 10.23 6.62–13.83 5.66–14.79 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 12.02 8.09–15.94 7.00–17.03 | 15.77 12.21–19.33 11.25–20.29 | 27.79 20.30–35.28 18.25–37.33 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 8.36 5.42–11.30 4.59–12.13 | 10.63 7.95–13.31 7.21–14.05 | 19.00 13.37–24.62 11.81–26.19 | 26% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.49 1.61–5.37 1.06–5.91 | 4.43 2.78–6.08 2.29–6.58 | 7.92 4.38–11.46 3.35–12.49 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.89 2.67–7.10 2.10–7.67 | 5.13 3.13–7.13 2.59–7.66 | 10.01 5.80–14.23 4.69–15.33 | 41% 47% |
| Possession % | 43.42 36.63–50.22 34.96–51.88 | 57.75 50.97–64.54 49.30–66.21 | — | 18% 78% |
| Passes | 438 371–505 353–523 | 556 489–622 472–640 | 994 860–1127 824–1163 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.54 75.51–83.57 74.22–84.86 | 86.96 82.63–91.28 81.32–92.59 | — | 15% 81% |
| Fouls | 10.31 7.48–13.15 6.72–13.91 | 9.62 6.68–12.57 5.93–13.31 | 19.93 14.15–25.72 12.65–27.22 | 52% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.41 1.25–3.57 0.94–3.87 | 1.58 0.49–2.68 0.20–2.96 | 3.99 1.73–6.24 1.14–6.83 | 56% 19% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.58 0.46–2.71 0.16–3.00 | 3.16 0.98–5.34 0.42–5.89 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.61 2.18–5.05 1.79–5.44 | 2.81 1.25–4.36 0.83–4.79 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 55% 15% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.