Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.152.89safe0.77–2.710.29–2.001.06–4.71safer0.52–2.960.06–2.230.58–5.19
Shots on target
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.293.979.25safe3.42–7.152.23–5.715.65–12.86safer2.93–7.641.76–6.184.69–13.82
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1010.7725.87safe11.17–19.027.21–14.3318.38–33.36safer10.08–20.126.25–15.2916.33–35.41
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.797.4717.26safe6.84–12.734.79–10.1511.63–22.88safer6.01–13.564.05–10.8910.07–24.45
Blocked shots
63%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.212.827.03safe2.33–6.091.16–4.473.49–10.56safer1.78–6.640.67–4.962.46–11.60
Corners
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.364.299.65safe3.15–7.582.29–6.295.44–13.86safer2.57–8.151.75–6.824.33–14.97
Possession %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction54.5646.35safe47.77–61.3539.57–53.14safer46.10–63.0237.90–54.81
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction528451979safe461–595384–517845–1113safer443–613367–535810–1148
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction87.3885.15safe83.35–91.4180.83–89.47safer82.06–92.7079.52–90.78
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5011.6624.16safe9.66–15.338.72–14.6018.37–29.94safer8.90–16.097.97–15.3516.87–31.44
Offsides
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.613.10safe0.33–2.650.52–2.710.85–5.35safer0.03–2.950.23–2.990.26–5.94
Yellow cards
37%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.923.71safe0.74–2.840.79–3.051.53–5.89safer0.47–3.100.50–3.340.97–6.44
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.666.25safe1.15–4.022.10–5.223.26–9.24safer0.76–4.411.68–5.642.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.77–2.71 0.52–2.96 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 2.89 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.29 3.42–7.15 2.93–7.64 | 3.97 2.23–5.71 1.76–6.18 | 9.25 5.65–12.86 4.69–13.82 | 60% 27% |
| Total shots | 15.10 11.17–19.02 10.08–20.12 | 10.77 7.21–14.33 6.25–15.29 | 25.87 18.38–33.36 16.33–35.41 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.79 6.84–12.73 6.01–13.56 | 7.47 4.79–10.15 4.05–10.89 | 17.26 11.63–22.88 10.07–24.45 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.33–6.09 1.78–6.64 | 2.82 1.16–4.47 0.67–4.96 | 7.03 3.49–10.56 2.46–11.60 | 63% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 5.36 3.15–7.58 2.57–8.15 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.75–6.82 | 9.65 5.44–13.86 4.33–14.97 | 57% 30% |
| Possession % | 54.56 47.77–61.35 46.10–63.02 | 46.35 39.57–53.14 37.90–54.81 | — | 66% 29% |
| Passes | 528 461–595 443–613 | 451 384–517 367–535 | 979 845–1113 810–1148 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.38 83.35–91.41 82.06–92.70 | 85.15 80.83–89.47 79.52–90.78 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 12.50 9.66–15.33 8.90–16.09 | 11.66 8.72–14.60 7.97–15.35 | 24.16 18.37–29.94 16.87–31.44 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 1.61 0.52–2.71 0.23–2.99 | 3.10 0.85–5.35 0.26–5.94 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.47–3.10 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.97–6.44 | 37% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 3.66 2.10–5.22 1.68–5.64 | 6.25 3.26–9.24 2.44–10.05 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+