Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.670.933.59safe1.70–3.630.07–1.781.77–5.42safer1.45–3.890.00–2.011.29–5.90
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.693.5011.20safe5.83–9.561.76–5.257.59–14.80safer5.34–10.051.30–5.716.64–15.76
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.899.4629.35safe15.97–23.825.90–13.0221.87–36.84safer14.88–24.914.94–13.9819.82–38.89
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.996.3819.36safe10.04–15.933.70–9.0613.74–24.99safer9.21–16.762.96–9.8012.17–26.55
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.482.047.52safe3.60–7.360.39–3.693.98–11.05safer3.05–7.910.00–4.182.95–12.09
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.073.3110.38safe4.86–9.281.31–5.316.17–14.59safer4.28–9.860.78–5.845.06–15.70
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.8332.54safe61.04–74.6225.75–39.32safer59.37–76.2924.08–40.99
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction616293909safe549–683226–359775–1042safer530–701209–377739–1078
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction86.3173.20safe82.28–90.3468.87–77.52safer80.99–91.6367.56–78.83
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6312.5724.20safe8.79–14.479.62–15.5118.41–29.98safer8.04–15.228.87–16.2616.91–31.48
Offsides
15%
15%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction1.423.044.46safe0.26–2.581.95–4.142.21–6.71safer0.00–2.881.66–4.421.62–7.30
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.223.63safe0.36–2.451.09–3.351.45–5.81safer0.09–2.720.80–3.640.89–6.37
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.374.376.74safe0.93–3.802.82–5.933.75–9.74safer0.54–4.192.39–6.362.94–10.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.67 1.70–3.63 1.45–3.89 | 0.93 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 3.59 1.77–5.42 1.29–5.90 | 74% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.69 5.83–9.56 5.34–10.05 | 3.50 1.76–5.25 1.30–5.71 | 11.20 7.59–14.80 6.64–15.76 | 87% |
| Total shots | 19.89 15.97–23.82 14.88–24.91 | 9.46 5.90–13.02 4.94–13.98 | 29.35 21.87–36.84 19.82–38.89 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.99 10.04–15.93 9.21–16.76 | 6.38 3.70–9.06 2.96–9.80 | 19.36 13.74–24.99 12.17–26.55 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 5.48 3.60–7.36 3.05–7.91 | 2.04 0.39–3.69 0.00–4.18 | 7.52 3.98–11.05 2.95–12.09 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.07 4.86–9.28 4.28–9.86 | 3.31 1.31–5.31 0.78–5.84 | 10.38 6.17–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 85% |
| Possession % | 67.83 61.04–74.62 59.37–76.29 | 32.54 25.75–39.32 24.08–40.99 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 616 549–683 530–701 | 293 226–359 209–377 | 909 775–1042 739–1078 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.31 82.28–90.34 80.99–91.63 | 73.20 68.87–77.52 67.56–78.83 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.63 8.79–14.47 8.04–15.22 | 12.57 9.62–15.51 8.87–16.26 | 24.20 18.41–29.98 16.91–31.48 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 3.04 1.95–4.14 1.66–4.42 | 4.46 2.21–6.71 1.62–7.30 | 15% 15% 70% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.45 0.09–2.72 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.89–6.37 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 4.37 2.82–5.93 2.39–6.36 | 6.74 3.75–9.74 2.94–10.55 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.