Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.610.743.34safe1.64–3.570.00–1.591.52–5.17safer1.39–3.830.00–1.821.04–5.65
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.592.9010.49safe5.73–9.451.16–4.646.89–14.10safer5.24–9.940.69–5.115.93–15.05
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.707.9929.70safe17.78–25.634.43–11.5622.21–37.18safer16.69–26.723.47–12.5120.16–39.23
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction15.075.4520.52safe12.13–18.012.77–8.1314.90–26.14safer11.30–18.842.03–8.8713.33–27.71
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.772.398.16safe3.89–7.660.74–4.044.63–11.70safer3.35–8.200.25–4.543.59–12.74
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.002.5710.56safe5.78–10.210.57–4.576.35–14.78safer5.21–10.780.03–5.105.24–15.89
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.3335.30safe57.54–71.1228.52–42.09safer55.87–72.7926.85–43.76
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction6693911060safe602–737324–457926–1193safer584–755307–474890–1229
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction91.3182.64safe87.28–95.3478.31–86.96safer85.99–96.6377.00–88.27
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8310.1920.02safe6.99–12.677.24–13.1314.24–25.80safer6.24–13.426.49–13.8812.73–27.31
Offsides
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.033.66safe0.46–2.780.94–3.131.40–5.91safer0.16–3.080.65–3.410.81–6.50
Yellow cards
24%
26%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction0.941.472.41safe0.00–1.990.34–2.600.24–4.59safer0.00–2.260.05–2.890.00–5.15
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction1.924.876.79safe0.48–3.363.32–6.433.80–9.78safer0.10–3.742.89–6.852.99–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.61 1.64–3.57 1.39–3.83 | 0.74 0.00–1.59 0.00–1.82 | 3.34 1.52–5.17 1.04–5.65 | 77% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.59 5.73–9.45 5.24–9.94 | 2.90 1.16–4.64 0.69–5.11 | 10.49 6.89–14.10 5.93–15.05 | 91% |
| Total shots | 21.70 17.78–25.63 16.69–26.72 | 7.99 4.43–11.56 3.47–12.51 | 29.70 22.21–37.18 20.16–39.23 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 15.07 12.13–18.01 11.30–18.84 | 5.45 2.77–8.13 2.03–8.87 | 20.52 14.90–26.14 13.33–27.71 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.77 3.89–7.66 3.35–8.20 | 2.39 0.74–4.04 0.25–4.54 | 8.16 4.63–11.70 3.59–12.74 | 85% |
| Corners | 8.00 5.78–10.21 5.21–10.78 | 2.57 0.57–4.57 0.03–5.10 | 10.56 6.35–14.78 5.24–15.89 | 94% |
| Possession % | 64.33 57.54–71.12 55.87–72.79 | 35.30 28.52–42.09 26.85–43.76 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 669 602–737 584–755 | 391 324–457 307–474 | 1060 926–1193 890–1229 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 91.31 87.28–95.34 85.99–96.63 | 82.64 78.31–86.96 77.00–88.27 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 9.83 6.99–12.67 6.24–13.42 | 10.19 7.24–13.13 6.49–13.88 | 20.02 14.24–25.80 12.73–27.31 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 2.03 0.94–3.13 0.65–3.41 | 3.66 1.40–5.91 0.81–6.50 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 0.94 0.00–1.99 0.00–2.26 | 1.47 0.34–2.60 0.05–2.89 | 2.41 0.24–4.59 0.00–5.15 | 24% 26% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.92 0.48–3.36 0.10–3.74 | 4.87 3.32–6.43 2.89–6.85 | 6.79 3.80–9.78 2.99–10.60 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.