Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
20%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction0.912.082.99safe0.00–1.881.22–2.931.16–4.81safer0.00–2.130.99–3.160.68–5.29
Shots on target
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.305.328.62safe1.44–5.163.58–7.065.01–12.23safer0.95–5.653.11–7.534.06–13.18
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5113.2425.74safe8.58–16.439.67–16.8018.26–33.23safer7.49–17.528.71–17.7616.21–35.28
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction7.999.9117.90safe5.04–10.937.23–12.5912.28–23.52safer4.21–11.766.50–13.3310.71–25.09
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.703.637.33safe1.82–5.581.98–5.283.79–10.86safer1.27–6.121.48–5.782.76–11.90
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.575.4710.04safe2.36–6.793.47–7.475.83–14.26safer1.78–7.362.94–8.004.72–15.36
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction42.4856.62safe35.69–49.2749.83–63.40safer34.02–50.9448.16–65.07
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction382529911safe315–449462–595777–1045safer297–467445–613741–1080
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction75.0178.99safe70.98–79.0474.67–83.31safer69.69–80.3373.36–84.62
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8110.8021.60safe7.97–13.647.85–13.7415.82–27.39safer7.21–14.407.11–14.4914.32–28.89
Offsides
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction1.173.024.19safe0.01–2.331.93–4.121.94–6.44safer0.00–2.631.64–4.401.35–7.03
Yellow cards
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.533.33safe0.76–2.850.40–2.661.16–5.51safer0.49–3.120.11–2.950.60–6.07
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
52%
17%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.142.515.65safe1.70–4.570.95–4.072.65–8.64safer1.31–4.960.53–4.491.84–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 0.00–1.88 0.00–2.13 | 2.08 1.22–2.93 0.99–3.16 | 2.99 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 16% 20% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.30 1.44–5.16 0.95–5.65 | 5.32 3.58–7.06 3.11–7.53 | 8.62 5.01–12.23 4.06–13.18 | 19% 70% |
| Total shots | 12.51 8.58–16.43 7.49–17.52 | 13.24 9.67–16.80 8.71–17.76 | 25.74 18.26–33.23 16.21–35.28 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 7.99 5.04–10.93 4.21–11.76 | 9.91 7.23–12.59 6.50–13.33 | 17.90 12.28–23.52 10.71–25.09 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.58 1.27–6.12 | 3.63 1.98–5.28 1.48–5.78 | 7.33 3.79–10.86 2.76–11.90 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 4.57 2.36–6.79 1.78–7.36 | 5.47 3.47–7.47 2.94–8.00 | 10.04 5.83–14.26 4.72–15.36 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 42.48 35.69–49.27 34.02–50.94 | 56.62 49.83–63.40 48.16–65.07 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 382 315–449 297–467 | 529 462–595 445–613 | 911 777–1045 741–1080 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.01 70.98–79.04 69.69–80.33 | 78.99 74.67–83.31 73.36–84.62 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 10.81 7.97–13.64 7.21–14.40 | 10.80 7.85–13.74 7.11–14.49 | 21.60 15.82–27.39 14.32–28.89 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.17 0.01–2.33 0.00–2.63 | 3.02 1.93–4.12 1.64–4.40 | 4.19 1.94–6.44 1.35–7.03 | 14% 75% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 1.53 0.40–2.66 0.11–2.95 | 3.33 1.16–5.51 0.60–6.07 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.14 1.70–4.57 1.31–4.96 | 2.51 0.95–4.07 0.53–4.49 | 5.65 2.65–8.64 1.84–9.45 | 52% 17% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.