Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.432.73safe0.33–2.270.57–2.280.91–4.55safer0.08–2.520.34–2.510.43–5.03
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.764.269.02safe2.89–6.622.52–6.005.41–12.62safer2.40–7.112.05–6.474.45–13.58
Total shots
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3213.5927.92safe10.40–18.2510.03–17.1520.43–35.40safer9.31–19.349.07–18.1118.38–37.45
Shots in box
47%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction9.178.9818.16safe6.23–12.126.30–11.6612.53–23.78safer5.40–12.955.56–12.4010.97–25.35
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.873.547.40safe1.98–5.751.88–5.193.87–10.94safer1.44–6.291.39–5.682.83–11.98
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.124.9210.04safe2.91–7.342.92–6.925.82–14.25safer2.33–7.912.38–7.454.72–15.36
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.2647.21safe46.47–60.0540.42–53.99safer44.80–61.7238.75–55.67
Passes
72%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction433362795safe366–500295–428661–928safer348–519278–446625–964
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction81.1977.40safe77.16–85.2273.08–81.72safer75.87–86.5171.77–83.03
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3413.5324.87safe8.50–14.1810.59–16.4819.09–30.66safer7.75–14.939.84–17.2317.59–32.16
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.543.05safe0.35–2.670.45–2.630.80–5.30safer0.05–2.970.16–2.920.21–5.89
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.103.89safe0.75–2.850.97–3.231.71–6.07safer0.48–3.110.68–3.521.16–6.63
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.033.296.33safe1.60–4.471.74–4.853.33–9.32safer1.21–4.861.31–5.272.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.43 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.51 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.76 2.89–6.62 2.40–7.11 | 4.26 2.52–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 9.02 5.41–12.62 4.45–13.58 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.32 10.40–18.25 9.31–19.34 | 13.59 10.03–17.15 9.07–18.11 | 27.92 20.43–35.40 18.38–37.45 | 52% 41% |
| Shots in box | 9.17 6.23–12.12 5.40–12.95 | 8.98 6.30–11.66 5.56–12.40 | 18.16 12.53–23.78 10.97–25.35 | 47% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.98–5.75 1.44–6.29 | 3.54 1.88–5.19 1.39–5.68 | 7.40 3.87–10.94 2.83–11.98 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.12 2.91–7.34 2.33–7.91 | 4.92 2.92–6.92 2.38–7.45 | 10.04 5.82–14.25 4.72–15.36 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 53.26 46.47–60.05 44.80–61.72 | 47.21 40.42–53.99 38.75–55.67 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 433 366–500 348–519 | 362 295–428 278–446 | 795 661–928 625–964 | 72% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.19 77.16–85.22 75.87–86.51 | 77.40 73.08–81.72 71.77–83.03 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 11.34 8.50–14.18 7.75–14.93 | 13.53 10.59–16.48 9.84–17.23 | 24.87 19.09–30.66 17.59–32.16 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.05 0.80–5.30 0.21–5.89 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.11 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 3.89 1.71–6.07 1.16–6.63 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.03 1.60–4.47 1.21–4.86 | 3.29 1.74–4.85 1.31–5.27 | 6.33 3.33–9.32 2.52–10.13 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+