Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.330.632.96safe1.36–3.300.00–1.491.14–4.78safer1.11–3.550.00–1.720.66–5.26
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.162.359.51safe5.29–9.020.61–4.095.90–13.11safer4.80–9.510.14–4.564.94–14.07
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.166.8927.05safe16.23–24.083.33–10.4519.56–34.54safer15.14–25.172.37–11.4117.51–36.59
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction13.954.2818.23safe11.00–16.891.60–6.9712.61–23.85safer10.17–17.720.87–7.7011.04–25.42
Blocked shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.381.657.03safe3.50–7.270.00–3.303.50–10.57safer2.96–7.810.00–3.802.46–11.60
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.482.7510.24safe5.27–9.700.75–4.756.02–14.45safer4.70–10.270.22–5.294.92–15.56
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.9237.88safe55.13–68.7131.09–44.66safer53.46–70.3829.42–46.33
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction591364955safe523–658298–431821–1089safer505–676280–448786–1124
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction84.5173.46safe80.48–88.5469.13–77.78safer79.19–89.8467.83–79.09
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6910.4223.11safe9.86–15.537.47–13.3617.33–28.89safer9.10–16.296.72–14.1115.83–30.40
Offsides
50%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.663.83safe1.01–3.330.57–2.761.58–6.08safer0.71–3.630.28–3.050.99–6.67
Yellow cards
23%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.993.18safe0.15–2.250.86–3.121.00–5.36safer0.00–2.510.57–3.410.45–5.92
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
85%
homeawaytotalprediction1.654.726.37safe0.21–3.093.16–6.283.38–9.36safer0.00–3.472.74–6.702.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.33 1.36–3.30 1.11–3.55 | 0.63 0.00–1.49 0.00–1.72 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 76% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.16 5.29–9.02 4.80–9.51 | 2.35 0.61–4.09 0.14–4.56 | 9.51 5.90–13.11 4.94–14.07 | 93% |
| Total shots | 20.16 16.23–24.08 15.14–25.17 | 6.89 3.33–10.45 2.37–11.41 | 27.05 19.56–34.54 17.51–36.59 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.95 11.00–16.89 10.17–17.72 | 4.28 1.60–6.97 0.87–7.70 | 18.23 12.61–23.85 11.04–25.42 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.38 3.50–7.27 2.96–7.81 | 1.65 0.00–3.30 0.00–3.80 | 7.03 3.50–10.57 2.46–11.60 | 90% |
| Corners | 7.48 5.27–9.70 4.70–10.27 | 2.75 0.75–4.75 0.22–5.29 | 10.24 6.02–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 91% |
| Possession % | 61.92 55.13–68.71 53.46–70.38 | 37.88 31.09–44.66 29.42–46.33 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 591 523–658 505–676 | 364 298–431 280–448 | 955 821–1089 786–1124 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.51 80.48–88.54 79.19–89.84 | 73.46 69.13–77.78 67.83–79.09 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.69 9.86–15.53 9.10–16.29 | 10.42 7.47–13.36 6.72–14.11 | 23.11 17.33–28.89 15.83–30.40 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 2.17 1.01–3.33 0.71–3.63 | 1.66 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.05 | 3.83 1.58–6.08 0.99–6.67 | 50% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.20 0.15–2.25 0.00–2.51 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.18 1.00–5.36 0.45–5.92 | 23% 22% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.65 0.21–3.09 0.00–3.47 | 4.72 3.16–6.28 2.74–6.70 | 6.37 3.38–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 85% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+