Serie A·Regular Season - 24·
Serie A·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
23%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.782.85safe0.10–2.030.93–2.641.03–4.67safer0.00–2.280.70–2.870.55–5.15
Shots on target
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.755.629.37safe1.89–5.613.88–7.365.77–12.98safer1.40–6.103.41–7.834.81–13.93
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2816.1028.37safe8.35–16.2012.53–19.6620.89–35.86safer7.26–17.2911.57–20.6218.83–37.91
Shots in box
22%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6710.4218.09safe4.73–10.617.74–13.1012.46–23.71safer3.90–11.447.00–13.8410.90–25.28
Blocked shots
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.824.167.98safe1.94–5.702.50–5.814.44–11.51safer1.40–6.252.01–6.303.41–12.55
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.855.119.96safe2.64–7.063.11–7.115.75–14.17safer2.06–7.642.58–7.644.64–15.28
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction47.9352.33safe41.14–54.7245.54–59.11safer39.47–56.3943.87–60.78
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction363409772safe296–430342–475638–906safer278–448325–493602–941
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction73.1773.58safe69.14–77.2069.25–77.90safer67.85–78.4967.95–79.21
Fouls
43%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2913.7527.04safe10.45–16.1210.81–16.7021.26–32.82safer9.69–16.8810.06–17.4519.75–34.33
Offsides
41%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.362.89safe0.36–2.680.27–2.460.64–5.14safer0.06–2.990.00–2.750.05–5.73
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.084.09safe0.97–3.070.95–3.211.91–6.27safer0.70–3.330.66–3.501.36–6.83
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.632.856.48safe2.19–5.071.30–4.413.49–9.47safer1.81–5.450.87–4.832.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 1.78 0.93–2.64 0.70–2.87 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 23% 23% 54% |
| Shots on target | 3.75 1.89–5.61 1.40–6.10 | 5.62 3.88–7.36 3.41–7.83 | 9.37 5.77–12.98 4.81–13.93 | 22% 67% |
| Total shots | 12.28 8.35–16.20 7.26–17.29 | 16.10 12.53–19.66 11.57–20.62 | 28.37 20.89–35.86 18.83–37.91 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 7.67 4.73–10.61 3.90–11.44 | 10.42 7.74–13.10 7.00–13.84 | 18.09 12.46–23.71 10.90–25.28 | 22% 70% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.40–6.25 | 4.16 2.50–5.81 2.01–6.30 | 7.98 4.44–11.51 3.41–12.55 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Corners | 4.85 2.64–7.06 2.06–7.64 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.58–7.64 | 9.96 5.75–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 47.93 41.14–54.72 39.47–56.39 | 52.33 45.54–59.11 43.87–60.78 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 363 296–430 278–448 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 772 638–906 602–941 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.17 69.14–77.20 67.85–78.49 | 73.58 69.25–77.90 67.95–79.21 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 13.29 10.45–16.12 9.69–16.88 | 13.75 10.81–16.70 10.06–17.45 | 27.04 21.26–32.82 19.75–34.33 | 43% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.99 | 1.36 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 2.89 0.64–5.14 0.05–5.73 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 4.09 1.91–6.27 1.36–6.83 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.63 2.19–5.07 1.81–5.45 | 2.85 1.30–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 6.48 3.49–9.47 2.68–10.29 | 54% 15% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.