Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
25%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.562.58safe0.06–1.990.70–2.410.76–4.40safer0.00–2.240.47–2.640.28–4.88
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.945.139.07safe2.08–5.803.38–6.875.46–12.67safer1.59–6.292.92–7.334.51–13.63
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9915.0528.03safe9.06–16.9111.49–18.6120.55–35.52safer7.97–18.0010.53–19.5718.50–37.57
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction7.989.2117.19safe5.03–10.926.53–11.8911.56–22.81safer4.20–11.755.79–12.6310.00–24.38
Blocked shots
32%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.664.508.16safe1.78–5.542.85–6.154.62–11.69safer1.23–6.082.35–6.643.59–12.73
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.695.8910.58safe2.48–6.913.89–7.896.37–14.80safer1.91–7.483.36–8.425.26–15.90
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction40.1359.47safe33.34–46.9252.69–66.26safer31.67–48.5951.02–67.93
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction382544926safe315–449477–610792–1060safer297–467460–628756–1095
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction73.2984.88safe69.26–77.3280.56–89.20safer67.97–78.6279.25–90.51
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6611.7123.36safe8.82–14.498.76–14.6517.58–29.14safer8.06–15.258.01–15.4016.07–30.65
Offsides
55%
20%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.311.553.86safe1.15–3.470.46–2.641.61–6.11safer0.85–3.770.17–2.931.02–6.70
Yellow cards
48%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.583.59safe0.96–3.060.45–2.711.41–5.76safer0.69–3.320.16–3.000.85–6.32
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.422.776.20safe1.99–4.861.22–4.333.21–9.19safer1.60–5.250.79–4.762.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.06–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 1.56 0.70–2.41 0.47–2.64 | 2.58 0.76–4.40 0.28–4.88 | 25% 25% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.08–5.80 1.59–6.29 | 5.13 3.38–6.87 2.92–7.33 | 9.07 5.46–12.67 4.51–13.63 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 12.99 9.06–16.91 7.97–18.00 | 15.05 11.49–18.61 10.53–19.57 | 28.03 20.55–35.52 18.50–37.57 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 7.98 5.03–10.92 4.20–11.75 | 9.21 6.53–11.89 5.79–12.63 | 17.19 11.56–22.81 10.00–24.38 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.54 1.23–6.08 | 4.50 2.85–6.15 2.35–6.64 | 8.16 4.62–11.69 3.59–12.73 | 32% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 4.69 2.48–6.91 1.91–7.48 | 5.89 3.89–7.89 3.36–8.42 | 10.58 6.37–14.80 5.26–15.90 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 40.13 33.34–46.92 31.67–48.59 | 59.47 52.69–66.26 51.02–67.93 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 382 315–449 297–467 | 544 477–610 460–628 | 926 792–1060 756–1095 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.29 69.26–77.32 67.97–78.62 | 84.88 80.56–89.20 79.25–90.51 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 11.66 8.82–14.49 8.06–15.25 | 11.71 8.76–14.65 8.01–15.40 | 23.36 17.58–29.14 16.07–30.65 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.31 1.15–3.47 0.85–3.77 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.86 1.61–6.11 1.02–6.70 | 55% 20% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.69–3.32 | 1.58 0.45–2.71 0.16–3.00 | 3.59 1.41–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 48% 22% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.42 1.99–4.86 1.60–5.25 | 2.77 1.22–4.33 0.79–4.76 | 6.20 3.21–9.19 2.39–10.00 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+