Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.362.82safe0.50–2.430.50–2.211.00–4.65safer0.25–2.680.27–2.440.52–5.12
Shots on target
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.599.40safe2.95–6.672.85–6.335.79–13.00safer2.46–7.162.38–6.804.84–13.96
Total shots
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1312.7226.85safe10.21–18.069.16–16.2919.37–34.34safer9.12–19.158.20–17.2417.32–36.39
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.468.3816.84safe5.52–11.405.70–11.0611.22–22.46safer4.69–12.234.96–11.809.65–24.03
Blocked shots
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.173.597.76safe2.29–6.051.94–5.254.22–11.30safer1.74–6.591.45–5.743.19–12.33
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.544.259.78safe3.32–7.752.25–6.255.57–14.00safer2.75–8.321.71–6.784.46–15.10
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.0848.36safe44.29–57.8741.58–55.15safer42.62–59.5439.91–56.82
Passes
52%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction456451907safe389–524384–517773–1041safer371–542367–535738–1076
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction84.6185.32safe80.58–88.6480.99–89.64safer79.29–89.9379.69–90.95
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0112.4225.43safe10.18–15.859.47–15.3619.65–31.21safer9.42–16.618.72–16.1118.14–32.72
Offsides
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.013.37safe0.20–2.520.91–3.101.12–5.62safer0.00–2.820.62–3.390.53–6.21
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.003.96safe0.91–3.010.87–3.131.78–6.14safer0.65–3.280.58–3.421.23–6.70
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.366.27safe1.48–4.351.81–4.923.28–9.27safer1.09–4.741.38–5.342.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.43 0.25–2.68 | 1.36 0.50–2.21 0.27–2.44 | 2.82 1.00–4.65 0.52–5.12 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.95–6.67 2.46–7.16 | 4.59 2.85–6.33 2.38–6.80 | 9.40 5.79–13.00 4.84–13.96 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 14.13 10.21–18.06 9.12–19.15 | 12.72 9.16–16.29 8.20–17.24 | 26.85 19.37–34.34 17.32–36.39 | 57% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.46 5.52–11.40 4.69–12.23 | 8.38 5.70–11.06 4.96–11.80 | 16.84 11.22–22.46 9.65–24.03 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.17 2.29–6.05 1.74–6.59 | 3.59 1.94–5.25 1.45–5.74 | 7.76 4.22–11.30 3.19–12.33 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Corners | 5.54 3.32–7.75 2.75–8.32 | 4.25 2.25–6.25 1.71–6.78 | 9.78 5.57–14.00 4.46–15.10 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 51.08 44.29–57.87 42.62–59.54 | 48.36 41.58–55.15 39.91–56.82 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 456 389–524 371–542 | 451 384–517 367–535 | 907 773–1041 738–1076 | 52% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.61 80.58–88.64 79.29–89.93 | 85.32 80.99–89.64 79.69–90.95 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 13.01 10.18–15.85 9.42–16.61 | 12.42 9.47–15.36 8.72–16.11 | 25.43 19.65–31.21 18.14–32.72 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.36 0.20–2.52 0.00–2.82 | 2.01 0.91–3.10 0.62–3.39 | 3.37 1.12–5.62 0.53–6.21 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.96 1.78–6.14 1.23–6.70 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 3.36 1.81–4.92 1.38–5.34 | 6.27 3.28–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+