Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
27%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.450.932.38safe0.49–2.420.08–1.790.56–4.21safer0.23–2.670.00–2.010.08–4.69
Shots on target
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.913.278.18safe3.05–6.771.53–5.014.58–11.79safer2.56–7.261.06–5.483.62–12.74
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction14.819.9424.75safe10.88–18.736.38–13.5017.26–32.23safer9.79–19.825.42–14.4615.21–34.28
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction9.676.1315.80safe6.73–12.613.45–8.8110.18–21.42safer5.90–13.442.71–9.558.61–22.99
Blocked shots
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.102.656.75safe2.22–5.980.99–4.303.21–10.28safer1.68–6.530.50–4.792.18–11.32
Corners
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.403.378.77safe3.19–7.621.37–5.374.56–12.99safer2.61–8.190.84–5.913.45–14.10
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.7848.16safe44.99–58.5741.38–54.95safer43.32–60.2439.71–56.62
Passes
55%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction471454925safe404–538388–521792–1059safer386–556370–538756–1095
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction79.4179.70safe75.38–83.4475.37–84.02safer74.09–84.7374.06–85.33
Fouls
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5112.3026.80safe11.67–17.349.35–15.2421.02–32.59safer10.91–18.108.61–15.9919.52–34.09
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.323.09safe0.60–2.920.23–2.420.83–5.34safer0.30–3.220.00–2.710.24–5.93
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.354.22safe0.82–2.921.22–3.482.04–6.40safer0.56–3.190.93–3.771.48–6.95
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
25%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.263.365.62safe0.82–3.691.81–4.922.63–8.61safer0.44–4.081.38–5.341.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.49–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.01 | 2.38 0.56–4.21 0.08–4.69 | 49% 27% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.91 3.05–6.77 2.56–7.26 | 3.27 1.53–5.01 1.06–5.48 | 8.18 4.58–11.79 3.62–12.74 | 65% 22% |
| Total shots | 14.81 10.88–18.73 9.79–19.82 | 9.94 6.38–13.50 5.42–14.46 | 24.75 17.26–32.23 15.21–34.28 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.67 6.73–12.61 5.90–13.44 | 6.13 3.45–8.81 2.71–9.55 | 15.80 10.18–21.42 8.61–22.99 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.68–6.53 | 2.65 0.99–4.30 0.50–4.79 | 6.75 3.21–10.28 2.18–11.32 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 5.40 3.19–7.62 2.61–8.19 | 3.37 1.37–5.37 0.84–5.91 | 8.77 4.56–12.99 3.45–14.10 | 70% 19% |
| Possession % | 51.78 44.99–58.57 43.32–60.24 | 48.16 41.38–54.95 39.71–56.62 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 471 404–538 386–556 | 454 388–521 370–538 | 925 792–1059 756–1095 | 55% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.41 75.38–83.44 74.09–84.73 | 79.70 75.37–84.02 74.06–85.33 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 14.51 11.67–17.34 10.91–18.10 | 12.30 9.35–15.24 8.61–15.99 | 26.80 21.02–32.59 19.52–34.09 | 63% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.32 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.09 0.83–5.34 0.24–5.93 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 2.35 1.22–3.48 0.93–3.77 | 4.22 2.04–6.40 1.48–6.95 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.82–3.69 0.44–4.08 | 3.36 1.81–4.92 1.38–5.34 | 5.62 2.63–8.61 1.82–9.43 | 25% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+