Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
27%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.202.50safe0.33–2.270.35–2.060.68–4.32safer0.08–2.520.12–2.290.20–4.80
Shots on target
49%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.584.188.75safe2.71–6.442.43–5.925.15–12.36safer2.22–6.931.97–6.384.19–13.31
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9111.6125.52safe9.98–17.838.04–15.1718.03–33.00safer8.89–18.937.08–16.1315.98–35.05
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.627.2715.89safe5.67–11.564.59–9.9510.27–21.51safer4.85–12.393.85–10.698.70–23.08
Blocked shots
55%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.883.066.93safe1.99–5.761.40–4.713.40–10.47safer1.45–6.300.91–5.202.36–11.50
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.024.089.10safe2.81–7.232.08–6.084.89–13.31safer2.23–7.811.55–6.613.78–14.42
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction51.9247.52safe45.13–58.7140.74–54.31safer43.46–60.3839.07–55.98
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction500461961safe433–567395–528828–1095safer415–586377–545792–1131
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction84.1383.10safe80.10–88.1578.77–87.42safer78.80–89.4577.46–88.73
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8412.1924.03safe9.00–14.679.25–15.1418.25–29.81safer8.24–15.438.50–15.8916.74–31.32
Offsides
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.263.78safe0.36–2.681.17–3.351.53–6.03safer0.06–2.980.88–3.640.94–6.62
Yellow cards
35%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.933.65safe0.67–2.760.81–3.061.47–5.83safer0.40–3.030.51–3.350.91–6.38
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.236.02safe1.35–4.221.68–4.793.02–9.01safer0.96–4.611.25–5.212.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.50 0.68–4.32 0.20–4.80 | 39% 27% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.58 2.71–6.44 2.22–6.93 | 4.18 2.43–5.92 1.97–6.38 | 8.75 5.15–12.36 4.19–13.31 | 49% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.91 9.98–17.83 8.89–18.93 | 11.61 8.04–15.17 7.08–16.13 | 25.52 18.03–33.00 15.98–35.05 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 8.62 5.67–11.56 4.85–12.39 | 7.27 4.59–9.95 3.85–10.69 | 15.89 10.27–21.51 8.70–23.08 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.88 1.99–5.76 1.45–6.30 | 3.06 1.40–4.71 0.91–5.20 | 6.93 3.40–10.47 2.36–11.50 | 55% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.02 2.81–7.23 2.23–7.81 | 4.08 2.08–6.08 1.55–6.61 | 9.10 4.89–13.31 3.78–14.42 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 51.92 45.13–58.71 43.46–60.38 | 47.52 40.74–54.31 39.07–55.98 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 500 433–567 415–586 | 461 395–528 377–545 | 961 828–1095 792–1131 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.13 80.10–88.15 78.80–89.45 | 83.10 78.77–87.42 77.46–88.73 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 11.84 9.00–14.67 8.24–15.43 | 12.19 9.25–15.14 8.50–15.89 | 24.03 18.25–29.81 16.74–31.32 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 2.26 1.17–3.35 0.88–3.64 | 3.78 1.53–6.03 0.94–6.62 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.67–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 1.93 0.81–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.91–6.38 | 35% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.23 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 6.02 3.02–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+