Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.480.783.26safe1.51–3.450.00–1.641.44–5.08safer1.26–3.700.00–1.870.96–5.56
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.132.729.85safe5.27–8.990.98–4.466.25–13.46safer4.78–9.480.51–4.935.29–14.41
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.547.6326.16safe14.61–22.464.06–11.1918.68–33.65safer13.52–23.563.10–12.1516.63–35.70
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.204.3117.51safe10.26–16.141.63–6.9911.88–23.13safer9.43–16.970.89–7.7310.32–24.70
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction4.711.736.44safe2.83–6.590.08–3.392.91–9.98safer2.29–7.140.00–3.881.87–11.02
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.752.769.51safe4.53–8.960.76–4.775.30–13.73safer3.96–9.530.23–5.304.19–14.83
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.6141.26safe51.82–65.4034.47–48.04safer50.15–67.0732.80–49.72
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction556393949safe489–623326–459815–1082safer471–641309–477779–1118
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction83.6976.02safe79.67–87.7271.70–80.34safer78.37–89.0270.39–81.65
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8011.3924.20safe9.97–15.648.45–14.3418.41–29.98safer9.21–16.407.70–15.0916.91–31.48
Offsides
58%
18%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.571.634.20safe1.41–3.730.54–2.731.95–6.46safer1.11–4.030.25–3.021.36–7.05
Yellow cards
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.372.113.48safe0.32–2.420.98–3.231.30–5.66safer0.06–2.690.69–3.530.74–6.21
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.140.19safe0.00–0.210.00–0.320.00–0.53safer0.00–0.360.00–0.460.00–0.82
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction1.824.646.46safe0.38–3.263.09–6.203.47–9.46safer0.00–3.642.66–6.622.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.48 1.51–3.45 1.26–3.70 | 0.78 0.00–1.64 0.00–1.87 | 3.26 1.44–5.08 0.96–5.56 | 74% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.13 5.27–8.99 4.78–9.48 | 2.72 0.98–4.46 0.51–4.93 | 9.85 6.25–13.46 5.29–14.41 | 90% |
| Total shots | 18.54 14.61–22.46 13.52–23.56 | 7.63 4.06–11.19 3.10–12.15 | 26.16 18.68–33.65 16.63–35.70 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.20 10.26–16.14 9.43–16.97 | 4.31 1.63–6.99 0.89–7.73 | 17.51 11.88–23.13 10.32–24.70 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 4.71 2.83–6.59 2.29–7.14 | 1.73 0.08–3.39 0.00–3.88 | 6.44 2.91–9.98 1.87–11.02 | 84% |
| Corners | 6.75 4.53–8.96 3.96–9.53 | 2.76 0.76–4.77 0.23–5.30 | 9.51 5.30–13.73 4.19–14.83 | 87% |
| Possession % | 58.61 51.82–65.40 50.15–67.07 | 41.26 34.47–48.04 32.80–49.72 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 556 489–623 471–641 | 393 326–459 309–477 | 949 815–1082 779–1118 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.69 79.67–87.72 78.37–89.02 | 76.02 71.70–80.34 70.39–81.65 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 12.80 9.97–15.64 9.21–16.40 | 11.39 8.45–14.34 7.70–15.09 | 24.20 18.41–29.98 16.91–31.48 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.57 1.41–3.73 1.11–4.03 | 1.63 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.02 | 4.20 1.95–6.46 1.36–7.05 | 58% 18% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 2.11 0.98–3.23 0.69–3.53 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.21 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.82 0.38–3.26 0.00–3.64 | 4.64 3.09–6.20 2.66–6.62 | 6.46 3.47–9.46 2.66–10.27 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+