Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
27%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.372.51safe0.17–2.100.52–2.230.68–4.33safer0.00–2.350.29–2.450.20–4.81
Shots on target
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.024.448.46safe2.16–5.882.70–6.184.85–12.06safer1.67–6.372.23–6.653.89–13.02
Total shots
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6813.7725.45safe7.75–15.6010.21–17.3317.96–32.94safer6.66–16.699.25–18.2915.91–34.99
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction7.778.6216.39safe4.83–10.725.93–11.3010.77–22.01safer4.00–11.555.20–12.039.20–23.58
Blocked shots
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.464.207.65safe1.57–5.342.54–5.854.12–11.19safer1.03–5.882.05–6.343.08–12.22
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.595.219.80safe2.38–6.803.21–7.215.58–14.01safer1.80–7.382.67–7.744.48–15.12
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.2757.41safe35.48–49.0650.62–64.19safer33.81–50.7348.95–65.87
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction378497875safe311–446430–563741–1009safer293–464413–581706–1044
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction73.4483.73safe69.41–77.4779.41–88.05safer68.12–78.7678.10–89.36
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8112.4425.25safe9.98–15.659.49–15.3819.47–31.03safer9.22–16.418.74–16.1317.96–32.54
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.513.24safe0.57–2.890.42–2.610.99–5.50safer0.27–3.190.13–2.900.40–6.08
Yellow cards
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.251.874.12safe1.20–3.300.74–3.001.94–6.30safer0.94–3.570.45–3.291.39–6.86
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.892.765.66safe1.46–4.331.21–4.322.67–8.65safer1.07–4.720.78–4.741.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.37 0.52–2.23 0.29–2.45 | 2.51 0.68–4.33 0.20–4.81 | 31% 27% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.02 2.16–5.88 1.67–6.37 | 4.44 2.70–6.18 2.23–6.65 | 8.46 4.85–12.06 3.89–13.02 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Total shots | 11.68 7.75–15.60 6.66–16.69 | 13.77 10.21–17.33 9.25–18.29 | 25.45 17.96–32.94 15.91–34.99 | 30% 62% |
| Shots in box | 7.77 4.83–10.72 4.00–11.55 | 8.62 5.93–11.30 5.20–12.03 | 16.39 10.77–22.01 9.20–23.58 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.46 1.57–5.34 1.03–5.88 | 4.20 2.54–5.85 2.05–6.34 | 7.65 4.12–11.19 3.08–12.22 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.59 2.38–6.80 1.80–7.38 | 5.21 3.21–7.21 2.67–7.74 | 9.80 5.58–14.01 4.48–15.12 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 42.27 35.48–49.06 33.81–50.73 | 57.41 50.62–64.19 48.95–65.87 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 378 311–446 293–464 | 497 430–563 413–581 | 875 741–1009 706–1044 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.44 69.41–77.47 68.12–78.76 | 83.73 79.41–88.05 78.10–89.36 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 12.81 9.98–15.65 9.22–16.41 | 12.44 9.49–15.38 8.74–16.13 | 25.25 19.47–31.03 17.96–32.54 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.51 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.90 | 3.24 0.99–5.50 0.40–6.08 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.25 1.20–3.30 0.94–3.57 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 4.12 1.94–6.30 1.39–6.86 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.46–4.33 1.07–4.72 | 2.76 1.21–4.32 0.78–4.74 | 5.66 2.67–8.65 1.85–9.46 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.