Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.153.26safe1.14–3.070.30–2.011.43–5.08safer0.89–3.320.07–2.230.95–5.56
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.574.1310.70safe4.71–8.432.39–5.887.10–14.31safer4.22–8.921.93–6.346.14–15.26
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.7410.3129.05safe14.82–22.676.75–13.8721.57–36.54safer13.73–23.765.79–14.8319.52–38.59
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction13.346.9620.30safe10.40–16.284.28–9.6414.67–25.92safer9.57–17.113.54–10.3713.11–27.49
Blocked shots
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.092.988.07safe3.20–6.971.33–4.644.53–11.60safer2.66–7.510.84–5.133.50–12.64
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.893.6810.58safe4.68–9.111.68–5.686.36–14.79safer4.11–9.681.15–6.225.26–15.90
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.3641.61safe51.57–65.1534.83–48.40safer49.90–66.8233.16–50.07
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction5994391038safe532–667372–505904–1172safer514–685355–523869–1207
Pass accuracy %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction89.2585.01safe85.22–93.2880.68–89.33safer83.92–94.5779.37–90.64
Fouls
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction10.339.6019.93safe7.49–13.176.66–12.5514.15–25.71safer6.73–13.925.91–13.2912.64–27.22
Offsides
60%
18%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.611.584.19safe1.45–3.770.49–2.671.93–6.44safer1.15–4.070.20–2.961.35–7.03
Yellow cards
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.452.78safe0.28–2.380.32–2.580.60–4.95safer0.01–2.640.03–2.870.04–5.51
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
22%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.714.186.89safe1.28–4.152.63–5.743.90–9.89safer0.89–4.542.20–6.163.09–10.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.11 1.14–3.07 0.89–3.32 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.23 | 3.26 1.43–5.08 0.95–5.56 | 59% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.57 4.71–8.43 4.22–8.92 | 4.13 2.39–5.88 1.93–6.34 | 10.70 7.10–14.31 6.14–15.26 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 18.74 14.82–22.67 13.73–23.76 | 10.31 6.75–13.87 5.79–14.83 | 29.05 21.57–36.54 19.52–38.59 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 13.34 10.40–16.28 9.57–17.11 | 6.96 4.28–9.64 3.54–10.37 | 20.30 14.67–25.92 13.11–27.49 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.09 3.20–6.97 2.66–7.51 | 2.98 1.33–4.64 0.84–5.13 | 8.07 4.53–11.60 3.50–12.64 | 71% 18% |
| Corners | 6.89 4.68–9.11 4.11–9.68 | 3.68 1.68–5.68 1.15–6.22 | 10.58 6.36–14.79 5.26–15.90 | 80% |
| Possession % | 58.36 51.57–65.15 49.90–66.82 | 41.61 34.83–48.40 33.16–50.07 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 599 532–667 514–685 | 439 372–505 355–523 | 1038 904–1172 869–1207 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 89.25 85.22–93.28 83.92–94.57 | 85.01 80.68–89.33 79.37–90.64 | — | 69% 27% |
| Fouls | 10.33 7.49–13.17 6.73–13.92 | 9.60 6.66–12.55 5.91–13.29 | 19.93 14.15–25.71 12.64–27.22 | 52% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.61 1.45–3.77 1.15–4.07 | 1.58 0.49–2.67 0.20–2.96 | 4.19 1.93–6.44 1.35–7.03 | 60% 18% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.01–2.64 | 1.45 0.32–2.58 0.03–2.87 | 2.78 0.60–4.95 0.04–5.51 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 4.18 2.63–5.74 2.20–6.16 | 6.89 3.90–9.89 3.09–10.70 | 22% 13% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.