Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
21%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction0.952.012.96safe0.00–1.921.15–2.861.14–4.79safer0.00–2.170.93–3.090.66–5.26
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.205.768.95safe1.33–5.064.01–7.505.35–12.56safer0.84–5.553.55–7.974.39–13.51
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6714.5525.22safe6.75–14.6010.98–18.1117.73–32.71safer5.66–15.6910.02–19.0715.68–34.76
Shots in box
16%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction6.6910.1916.88safe3.74–9.637.51–12.8811.26–22.50safer2.91–10.466.78–13.619.69–24.07
Blocked shots
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.964.147.10safe1.08–4.842.49–5.793.57–10.64safer0.54–5.392.00–6.292.53–11.67
Corners
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.835.499.31safe1.61–6.043.49–7.495.10–13.53safer1.04–6.612.95–8.023.99–14.63
Possession %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction42.6657.50safe35.87–49.4550.72–64.29safer34.20–51.1249.05–65.96
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction371489860safe304–438423–556727–994safer286–457405–573691–1030
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction75.3079.08safe71.27–79.3374.76–83.40safer69.98–80.6373.45–84.71
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1914.2225.41safe8.36–14.0311.28–17.1719.63–31.20safer7.60–14.7910.53–17.9118.13–32.70
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.483.00safe0.36–2.680.39–2.580.75–5.26safer0.06–2.980.10–2.860.16–5.85
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.693.44safe0.70–2.800.56–2.821.26–5.62safer0.44–3.070.27–3.110.71–6.18
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
60%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.516.18safe2.23–5.110.95–4.073.19–9.17safer1.85–5.490.53–4.492.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 2.01 1.15–2.86 0.93–3.09 | 2.96 1.14–4.79 0.66–5.26 | 17% 21% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.20 1.33–5.06 0.84–5.55 | 5.76 4.01–7.50 3.55–7.97 | 8.95 5.35–12.56 4.39–13.51 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 10.67 6.75–14.60 5.66–15.69 | 14.55 10.98–18.11 10.02–19.07 | 25.22 17.73–32.71 15.68–34.76 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 6.69 3.74–9.63 2.91–10.46 | 10.19 7.51–12.88 6.78–13.61 | 16.88 11.26–22.50 9.69–24.07 | 16% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 2.96 1.08–4.84 0.54–5.39 | 4.14 2.49–5.79 2.00–6.29 | 7.10 3.57–10.64 2.53–11.67 | 26% 14% 60% |
| Corners | 3.83 1.61–6.04 1.04–6.61 | 5.49 3.49–7.49 2.95–8.02 | 9.31 5.10–13.53 3.99–14.63 | 24% 65% |
| Possession % | 42.66 35.87–49.45 34.20–51.12 | 57.50 50.72–64.29 49.05–65.96 | — | 17% 79% |
| Passes | 371 304–438 286–457 | 489 423–556 405–573 | 860 727–994 691–1030 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.30 71.27–79.33 69.98–80.63 | 79.08 74.76–83.40 73.45–84.71 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.19 8.36–14.03 7.60–14.79 | 14.22 11.28–17.17 10.53–17.91 | 25.41 19.63–31.20 18.13–32.70 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.48 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.86 | 3.00 0.75–5.26 0.16–5.85 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 3.44 1.26–5.62 0.71–6.18 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.67 2.23–5.11 1.85–5.49 | 2.51 0.95–4.07 0.53–4.49 | 6.18 3.19–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 60% 15% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.