Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.990.742.73safe1.02–2.960.00–1.590.91–4.55safer0.77–3.210.00–1.820.43–5.03
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.392.679.07safe4.53–8.260.93–4.415.46–12.67safer4.04–8.750.46–4.884.51–13.63
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.427.9826.40safe14.49–22.344.42–11.5518.91–33.89safer13.40–23.433.46–12.5016.86–35.94
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.374.6116.98safe9.43–15.311.93–7.2911.36–22.61safer8.60–16.141.19–8.039.79–24.17
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.702.226.92safe2.82–6.580.57–3.883.39–10.46safer2.27–7.130.08–4.372.35–11.49
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.942.629.57safe4.73–9.160.62–4.625.35–13.78safer4.15–9.730.09–5.164.24–14.89
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.4637.56safe55.67–69.2530.77–44.34safer54.00–70.9229.10–46.01
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction6433951038safe575–710328–461904–1171safer557–728311–479868–1207
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction90.2882.96safe86.25–94.3178.64–87.28safer84.96–95.6077.33–88.59
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2411.8822.12safe7.40–13.088.94–14.8316.34–27.91safer6.65–13.848.19–15.5714.84–29.41
Offsides
23%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.333.74safe0.25–2.581.23–3.421.49–5.99safer0.00–2.880.94–3.710.90–6.58
Yellow cards
24%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.023.33safe0.26–2.350.89–3.151.15–5.51safer0.00–2.620.60–3.440.59–6.06
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
13%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction1.874.035.90safe0.43–3.312.47–5.582.91–8.89safer0.05–3.692.05–6.012.09–9.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.99 1.02–2.96 0.77–3.21 | 0.74 0.00–1.59 0.00–1.82 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 67% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.39 4.53–8.26 4.04–8.75 | 2.67 0.93–4.41 0.46–4.88 | 9.07 5.46–12.67 4.51–13.63 | 86% |
| Total shots | 18.42 14.49–22.34 13.40–23.43 | 7.98 4.42–11.55 3.46–12.50 | 26.40 18.91–33.89 16.86–35.94 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.37 9.43–15.31 8.60–16.14 | 4.61 1.93–7.29 1.19–8.03 | 16.98 11.36–22.61 9.79–24.17 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 4.70 2.82–6.58 2.27–7.13 | 2.22 0.57–3.88 0.08–4.37 | 6.92 3.39–10.46 2.35–11.49 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.94 4.73–9.16 4.15–9.73 | 2.62 0.62–4.62 0.09–5.16 | 9.57 5.35–13.78 4.24–14.89 | 90% |
| Possession % | 62.46 55.67–69.25 54.00–70.92 | 37.56 30.77–44.34 29.10–46.01 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 643 575–710 557–728 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 1038 904–1171 868–1207 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 90.28 86.25–94.31 84.96–95.60 | 82.96 78.64–87.28 77.33–88.59 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 10.24 7.40–13.08 6.65–13.84 | 11.88 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.57 | 22.12 16.34–27.91 14.84–29.41 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.25–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 2.33 1.23–3.42 0.94–3.71 | 3.74 1.49–5.99 0.90–6.58 | 23% 20% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.35 0.00–2.62 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.06 | 24% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.87 0.43–3.31 0.05–3.69 | 4.03 2.47–5.58 2.05–6.01 | 5.90 2.91–8.89 2.09–9.70 | 13% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.