Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.083.08safe1.03–2.960.23–1.941.26–4.90safer0.78–3.220.00–2.160.78–5.38
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.739.65safe4.06–7.781.99–5.476.05–13.26safer3.57–8.271.52–5.945.09–14.21
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5310.2626.79safe12.61–20.466.69–13.8219.31–34.28safer11.52–21.555.74–14.7817.25–36.33
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.936.5617.49safe7.99–13.883.88–9.2411.87–23.12safer7.16–14.713.14–9.9810.30–24.68
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.602.467.06safe2.72–6.480.80–4.113.52–10.59safer2.18–7.030.31–4.602.49–11.63
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.043.839.87safe3.83–8.251.83–5.835.66–14.08safer3.25–8.831.30–6.364.55–15.19
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.5245.11safe48.73–62.3138.33–51.90safer47.06–63.9836.66–53.57
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction525426951safe458–593359–492817–1085safer440–611342–510782–1120
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction88.4683.98safe84.43–92.4979.65–88.30safer83.14–93.7878.34–89.61
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8011.2023.01safe8.97–14.648.26–14.1517.22–28.79safer8.21–15.407.51–14.8915.72–30.29
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.583.64safe0.89–3.210.49–2.681.38–5.89safer0.59–3.520.20–2.960.79–6.48
Yellow cards
26%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.903.21safe0.26–2.360.77–3.031.03–5.39safer0.00–2.630.48–3.320.47–5.94
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
22%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.996.50safe1.08–3.952.43–5.553.51–9.49safer0.69–4.342.01–5.972.70–10.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.96 0.78–3.22 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.16 | 3.08 1.26–4.90 0.78–5.38 | 59% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.92 4.06–7.78 3.57–8.27 | 3.73 1.99–5.47 1.52–5.94 | 9.65 6.05–13.26 5.09–14.21 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.53 12.61–20.46 11.52–21.55 | 10.26 6.69–13.82 5.74–14.78 | 26.79 19.31–34.28 17.25–36.33 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.93 7.99–13.88 7.16–14.71 | 6.56 3.88–9.24 3.14–9.98 | 17.49 11.87–23.12 10.30–24.68 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.60 2.72–6.48 2.18–7.03 | 2.46 0.80–4.11 0.31–4.60 | 7.06 3.52–10.59 2.49–11.63 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.04 3.83–8.25 3.25–8.83 | 3.83 1.83–5.83 1.30–6.36 | 9.87 5.66–14.08 4.55–15.19 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 55.52 48.73–62.31 47.06–63.98 | 45.11 38.33–51.90 36.66–53.57 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 525 458–593 440–611 | 426 359–492 342–510 | 951 817–1085 782–1120 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.46 84.43–92.49 83.14–93.78 | 83.98 79.65–88.30 78.34–89.61 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 11.80 8.97–14.64 8.21–15.40 | 11.20 8.26–14.15 7.51–14.89 | 23.01 17.22–28.79 15.72–30.29 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.59–3.52 | 1.58 0.49–2.68 0.20–2.96 | 3.64 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.63 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.21 1.03–5.39 0.47–5.94 | 26% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 3.99 2.43–5.55 2.01–5.97 | 6.50 3.51–9.49 2.70–10.31 | 22% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+