Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.053.00safe0.97–2.910.20–1.911.17–4.82safer0.72–3.160.00–2.140.69–5.30
Shots on target
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.183.679.85safe4.32–8.041.93–5.416.24–13.45safer3.83–8.531.46–5.885.29–14.41
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction18.6310.9629.59safe14.70–22.557.40–14.5222.10–37.07safer13.61–23.646.44–15.4820.05–39.12
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.546.7218.26safe8.60–14.484.04–9.4012.64–23.88safer7.77–15.313.30–10.1411.07–25.45
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.022.667.68safe3.14–6.901.01–4.314.14–11.21safer2.59–7.440.51–4.803.11–12.25
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.633.8310.46safe4.42–8.841.83–5.836.25–14.68safer3.84–9.421.30–6.375.14–15.79
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.5639.89safe53.77–67.3533.11–46.68safer52.10–69.0231.43–48.35
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction535330865safe468–602263–396731–998safer450–620246–414695–1034
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction86.6977.45safe82.66–90.7273.13–81.78safer81.37–92.0171.82–83.09
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0913.1624.24safe8.25–13.9310.21–16.1018.46–30.03safer7.49–14.689.46–16.8516.96–31.53
Offsides
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.502.90safe0.23–2.550.41–2.600.64–5.15safer0.00–2.850.12–2.890.05–5.74
Yellow cards
24%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.484.07safe0.54–2.641.35–3.611.89–6.25safer0.27–2.901.06–3.901.33–6.81
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.424.266.68safe0.98–3.862.70–5.813.68–9.67safer0.60–4.242.28–6.242.87–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.97–2.91 0.72–3.16 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 3.00 1.17–4.82 0.69–5.30 | 58% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.18 4.32–8.04 3.83–8.53 | 3.67 1.93–5.41 1.46–5.88 | 9.85 6.24–13.45 5.29–14.41 | 74% 17% |
| Total shots | 18.63 14.70–22.55 13.61–23.64 | 10.96 7.40–14.52 6.44–15.48 | 29.59 22.10–37.07 20.05–39.12 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.54 8.60–14.48 7.77–15.31 | 6.72 4.04–9.40 3.30–10.14 | 18.26 12.64–23.88 11.07–25.45 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 5.02 3.14–6.90 2.59–7.44 | 2.66 1.01–4.31 0.51–4.80 | 7.68 4.14–11.21 3.11–12.25 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 6.63 4.42–8.84 3.84–9.42 | 3.83 1.83–5.83 1.30–6.37 | 10.46 6.25–14.68 5.14–15.79 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 60.56 53.77–67.35 52.10–69.02 | 39.89 33.11–46.68 31.43–48.35 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 535 468–602 450–620 | 330 263–396 246–414 | 865 731–998 695–1034 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.69 82.66–90.72 81.37–92.01 | 77.45 73.13–81.78 71.82–83.09 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.09 8.25–13.93 7.49–14.68 | 13.16 10.21–16.10 9.46–16.85 | 24.24 18.46–30.03 16.96–31.53 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.85 | 1.50 0.41–2.60 0.12–2.89 | 2.90 0.64–5.15 0.05–5.74 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.90 | 2.48 1.35–3.61 1.06–3.90 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.33–6.81 | 24% 19% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.86 0.60–4.24 | 4.26 2.70–5.81 2.28–6.24 | 6.68 3.68–9.67 2.87–10.48 | 18% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.