Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.852.793.64safe0.00–1.821.93–3.641.82–5.46safer0.00–2.071.71–3.871.34–5.94
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction3.087.3010.38safe1.22–4.945.56–9.046.78–13.99safer0.73–5.435.09–9.515.82–14.94
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4917.8828.37safe6.56–14.4114.32–21.4420.88–35.85safer5.47–15.5013.36–22.4018.83–37.90
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9612.2819.24safe4.02–9.919.60–14.9613.62–24.86safer3.19–10.748.86–15.7012.05–26.43
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.564.487.04safe0.68–4.442.82–6.133.50–10.57safer0.14–4.992.33–6.622.47–11.61
Corners
15%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.946.8410.78safe1.73–6.164.84–8.846.57–15.00safer1.16–6.734.30–9.375.46–16.10
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.5065.07safe28.71–42.2958.28–71.85safer27.04–43.9656.61–73.52
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction315587902safe248–382521–654769–1036safer230–400503–671733–1072
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction71.3384.56safe67.31–75.3680.24–88.89safer66.01–76.6678.93–90.20
Fouls
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3910.6222.01safe8.56–14.237.67–13.5616.23–27.79safer7.80–14.996.93–14.3114.73–29.30
Offsides
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.035.54safe1.35–3.671.94–4.123.29–7.80safer1.05–3.971.65–4.412.70–8.38
Yellow cards
46%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.513.38safe0.82–2.920.38–2.641.20–5.56safer0.56–3.190.09–2.930.65–6.12
Red cards
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.070.24safe0.01–0.330.00–0.260.00–0.59safer0.00–0.480.00–0.390.00–0.87
GK saves
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.262.166.42safe2.82–5.690.60–3.723.42–9.41safer2.43–6.080.18–4.142.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.85 0.00–1.82 0.00–2.07 | 2.79 1.93–3.64 1.71–3.87 | 3.64 1.82–5.46 1.34–5.94 | 14% 78% |
| Shots on target | 3.08 1.22–4.94 0.73–5.43 | 7.30 5.56–9.04 5.09–9.51 | 10.38 6.78–13.99 5.82–14.94 | 88% |
| Total shots | 10.49 6.56–14.41 5.47–15.50 | 17.88 14.32–21.44 13.36–22.40 | 28.37 20.88–35.85 18.83–37.90 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 6.96 4.02–9.91 3.19–10.74 | 12.28 9.60–14.96 8.86–15.70 | 19.24 13.62–24.86 12.05–26.43 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.56 0.68–4.44 0.14–4.99 | 4.48 2.82–6.13 2.33–6.62 | 7.04 3.50–10.57 2.47–11.61 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 3.94 1.73–6.16 1.16–6.73 | 6.84 4.84–8.84 4.30–9.37 | 10.78 6.57–15.00 5.46–16.10 | 15% 77% |
| Possession % | 35.50 28.71–42.29 27.04–43.96 | 65.07 58.28–71.85 56.61–73.52 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 315 248–382 230–400 | 587 521–654 503–671 | 902 769–1036 733–1072 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.33 67.31–75.36 66.01–76.66 | 84.56 80.24–88.89 78.93–90.20 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.39 8.56–14.23 7.80–14.99 | 10.62 7.67–13.56 6.93–14.31 | 22.01 16.23–27.79 14.73–29.30 | 52% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.51 1.35–3.67 1.05–3.97 | 3.03 1.94–4.12 1.65–4.41 | 5.54 3.29–7.80 2.70–8.38 | 33% 17% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 1.51 0.38–2.64 0.09–2.93 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.65–6.12 | 46% 22% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 14% 80% |
| GK saves | 4.26 2.82–5.69 2.43–6.08 | 2.16 0.60–3.72 0.18–4.14 | 6.42 3.42–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 74% 15% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.