Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
27%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.212.55safe0.37–2.310.35–2.060.72–4.37safer0.12–2.560.12–2.290.24–4.85
Shots on target
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.593.948.53safe2.73–6.462.19–5.684.92–12.13safer2.24–6.951.73–6.143.97–13.09
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4811.5025.99safe10.56–18.417.94–15.0718.50–33.48safer9.47–19.506.98–16.0316.45–35.53
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction9.228.1917.41safe6.28–12.165.51–10.8711.78–23.03safer5.45–12.994.77–11.6110.22–24.60
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.143.317.45safe2.26–6.021.65–4.963.91–10.98safer1.72–6.571.16–5.452.88–12.02
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.524.7110.23safe3.31–7.742.71–6.716.02–14.45safer2.74–8.312.18–7.244.91–15.55
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction51.5548.94safe44.76–58.3442.16–55.73safer43.09–60.0140.49–57.40
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction429392821safe361–496326–459687–954safer343–514308–476651–990
Pass accuracy %
70%
25%
homeawayprediction79.4674.80safe75.43–83.4970.47–79.12safer74.14–84.7869.16–80.43
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8912.7925.68safe10.05–15.729.85–15.7419.90–31.46safer9.29–16.489.10–16.4818.39–32.96
Offsides
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.423.37safe0.79–3.110.32–2.511.11–5.62safer0.49–3.410.04–2.800.52–6.21
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.823.50safe0.63–2.720.69–2.951.32–5.67safer0.36–2.990.40–3.240.76–6.23
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.523.415.93safe1.09–3.961.86–4.972.94–8.93safer0.70–4.351.43–5.392.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.55 0.72–4.37 0.24–4.85 | 40% 27% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.59 2.73–6.46 2.24–6.95 | 3.94 2.19–5.68 1.73–6.14 | 8.53 4.92–12.13 3.97–13.09 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.48 10.56–18.41 9.47–19.50 | 11.50 7.94–15.07 6.98–16.03 | 25.99 18.50–33.48 16.45–35.53 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.22 6.28–12.16 5.45–12.99 | 8.19 5.51–10.87 4.77–11.61 | 17.41 11.78–23.03 10.22–24.60 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.14 2.26–6.02 1.72–6.57 | 3.31 1.65–4.96 1.16–5.45 | 7.45 3.91–10.98 2.88–12.02 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.31–7.74 2.74–8.31 | 4.71 2.71–6.71 2.18–7.24 | 10.23 6.02–14.45 4.91–15.55 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 51.55 44.76–58.34 43.09–60.01 | 48.94 42.16–55.73 40.49–57.40 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 429 361–496 343–514 | 392 326–459 308–476 | 821 687–954 651–990 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.46 75.43–83.49 74.14–84.78 | 74.80 70.47–79.12 69.16–80.43 | — | 70% 25% |
| Fouls | 12.89 10.05–15.72 9.29–16.48 | 12.79 9.85–15.74 9.10–16.48 | 25.68 19.90–31.46 18.39–32.96 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 1.42 0.32–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.37 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.21 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.50 1.32–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 3.41 1.86–4.97 1.43–5.39 | 5.93 2.94–8.93 2.13–9.74 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+