Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.910.962.87safe0.94–2.880.11–1.821.05–4.70safer0.69–3.130.00–2.050.57–5.18
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.833.539.36safe3.97–7.691.78–5.275.75–12.96safer3.48–8.181.32–5.734.80–13.92
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.049.9325.97safe12.12–19.976.37–13.4918.48–33.46safer11.02–21.065.41–14.4516.43–35.51
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.646.8718.51safe8.70–14.594.19–9.5512.89–24.14safer7.87–15.423.45–10.2911.32–25.70
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.742.557.29safe2.86–6.620.89–4.203.75–10.82safer2.31–7.160.40–4.692.71–11.86
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.763.6010.37safe4.55–8.971.60–5.606.15–14.58safer3.97–9.551.07–6.145.04–15.69
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction59.2541.43safe52.46–66.0434.64–48.21safer50.79–67.7132.97–49.88
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction560391951safe492–627324–457817–1084safer474–645307–475781–1120
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction82.4777.92safe78.44–86.5073.60–82.24safer77.15–87.7972.29–83.55
Fouls
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2210.0921.31safe8.39–14.067.15–13.0415.53–27.10safer7.63–14.826.40–13.7814.03–28.60
Offsides
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.433.37safe0.78–3.100.34–2.521.12–5.63safer0.48–3.400.05–2.810.53–6.22
Yellow cards
30%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.743.11safe0.32–2.420.61–2.870.94–5.29safer0.06–2.690.32–3.160.38–5.85
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.876.21safe0.90–3.782.31–5.433.22–9.20safer0.52–4.161.89–5.852.41–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.87 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.83 3.97–7.69 3.48–8.18 | 3.53 1.78–5.27 1.32–5.73 | 9.36 5.75–12.96 4.80–13.92 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 16.04 12.12–19.97 11.02–21.06 | 9.93 6.37–13.49 5.41–14.45 | 25.97 18.48–33.46 16.43–35.51 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.64 8.70–14.59 7.87–15.42 | 6.87 4.19–9.55 3.45–10.29 | 18.51 12.89–24.14 11.32–25.70 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.74 2.86–6.62 2.31–7.16 | 2.55 0.89–4.20 0.40–4.69 | 7.29 3.75–10.82 2.71–11.86 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.76 4.55–8.97 3.97–9.55 | 3.60 1.60–5.60 1.07–6.14 | 10.37 6.15–14.58 5.04–15.69 | 80% |
| Possession % | 59.25 52.46–66.04 50.79–67.71 | 41.43 34.64–48.21 32.97–49.88 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 560 492–627 474–645 | 391 324–457 307–475 | 951 817–1084 781–1120 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.47 78.44–86.50 77.15–87.79 | 77.92 73.60–82.24 72.29–83.55 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.39–14.06 7.63–14.82 | 10.09 7.15–13.04 6.40–13.78 | 21.31 15.53–27.10 14.03–28.60 | 55% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.37 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.11 0.94–5.29 0.38–5.85 | 30% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.78 0.52–4.16 | 3.87 2.31–5.43 1.89–5.85 | 6.21 3.22–9.20 2.41–10.01 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+