Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.662.79safe0.16–2.100.81–2.520.97–4.62safer0.00–2.350.58–2.750.49–5.09
Shots on target
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.145.039.17safe2.28–6.003.29–6.775.56–12.77safer1.79–6.492.82–7.244.61–13.73
Total shots
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6414.4527.08safe8.71–16.5610.88–18.0119.60–34.57safer7.62–17.659.92–18.9717.55–36.62
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction7.229.0416.26safe4.28–10.176.35–11.7210.64–21.88safer3.45–11.005.62–12.459.07–23.45
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.563.797.35safe1.67–5.442.14–5.453.82–10.89safer1.13–5.981.65–5.942.78–11.92
Corners
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.425.119.52safe2.20–6.633.11–7.115.31–13.74safer1.63–7.202.57–7.644.20–14.84
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.4952.08safe41.70–55.2845.29–58.86safer40.03–56.9543.62–60.53
Passes
39%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction443476919safe376–511409–542785–1053safer358–529392–560750–1088
Pass accuracy %
42%
52%
homeawayprediction84.8485.82safe80.81–88.8781.50–90.15safer79.52–90.1680.19–91.46
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4814.6727.15safe9.65–15.3211.72–17.6121.37–32.93safer8.89–16.0810.97–18.3619.86–34.44
Offsides
41%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.412.98safe0.41–2.730.32–2.500.72–5.23safer0.10–3.030.03–2.790.13–5.82
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.234.19safe0.91–3.011.10–3.362.01–6.37safer0.65–3.280.81–3.651.45–6.92
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
47%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.162.866.01safe1.72–4.591.30–4.413.02–9.00safer1.33–4.980.88–4.842.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.16–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.66 0.81–2.52 0.58–2.75 | 2.79 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.09 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.28–6.00 1.79–6.49 | 5.03 3.29–6.77 2.82–7.24 | 9.17 5.56–12.77 4.61–13.73 | 32% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.64 8.71–16.56 7.62–17.65 | 14.45 10.88–18.01 9.92–18.97 | 27.08 19.60–34.57 17.55–36.62 | 33% 60% |
| Shots in box | 7.22 4.28–10.17 3.45–11.00 | 9.04 6.35–11.72 5.62–12.45 | 16.26 10.64–21.88 9.07–23.45 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.67–5.44 1.13–5.98 | 3.79 2.14–5.45 1.65–5.94 | 7.35 3.82–10.89 2.78–11.92 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.42 2.20–6.63 1.63–7.20 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.57–7.64 | 9.52 5.31–13.74 4.20–14.84 | 35% 52% |
| Possession % | 48.49 41.70–55.28 40.03–56.95 | 52.08 45.29–58.86 43.62–60.53 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 443 376–511 358–529 | 476 409–542 392–560 | 919 785–1053 750–1088 | 39% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.84 80.81–88.87 79.52–90.16 | 85.82 81.50–90.15 80.19–91.46 | — | 42% 52% |
| Fouls | 12.48 9.65–15.32 8.89–16.08 | 14.67 11.72–17.61 10.97–18.36 | 27.15 21.37–32.93 19.86–34.44 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.10–3.03 | 1.41 0.32–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 2.98 0.72–5.23 0.13–5.82 | 41% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.19 2.01–6.37 1.45–6.92 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.16 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.98 | 2.86 1.30–4.41 0.88–4.84 | 6.01 3.02–9.00 2.21–9.82 | 47% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.