Serie A·Regular Season - 28·
Serie A·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
26%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.462.53safe0.11–2.040.60–2.310.71–4.36safer0.00–2.290.37–2.540.23–4.84
Shots on target
28%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.664.878.53safe1.80–5.523.13–6.614.93–12.14safer1.31–6.012.66–7.083.97–13.09
Total shots
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8314.1225.95safe7.90–15.7510.56–17.6818.46–33.43safer6.81–16.849.60–18.6416.41–35.48
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.388.9116.29safe4.44–10.326.23–11.5910.67–21.91safer3.61–11.155.49–12.339.10–23.48
Blocked shots
37%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.153.506.65safe1.26–5.031.85–5.153.11–10.18safer0.72–5.571.36–5.652.08–11.22
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.545.149.68safe2.33–6.753.14–7.145.47–13.89safer1.75–7.332.60–7.674.36–15.00
Possession %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction50.6849.05safe43.89–57.4742.26–55.83safer42.22–59.1440.59–57.51
Passes
60%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction471439910safe404–538372–505776–1044safer386–556355–523741–1079
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction83.2378.29safe79.20–87.2673.96–82.61safer77.91–88.5572.65–83.92
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1511.9624.10safe9.31–14.999.01–14.9018.32–29.89safer8.55–15.748.26–15.6516.82–31.39
Offsides
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.312.82safe0.35–2.670.22–2.400.57–5.07safer0.05–2.970.00–2.690.00–5.66
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.853.56safe0.66–2.760.72–2.971.38–5.74safer0.40–3.030.42–3.270.82–6.29
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.292.555.85safe1.86–4.731.00–4.112.85–8.84safer1.47–5.120.57–4.532.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 1.46 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 2.53 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 28% 26% 46% |
| Shots on target | 3.66 1.80–5.52 1.31–6.01 | 4.87 3.13–6.61 2.66–7.08 | 8.53 4.93–12.14 3.97–13.09 | 28% 59% |
| Total shots | 11.83 7.90–15.75 6.81–16.84 | 14.12 10.56–17.68 9.60–18.64 | 25.95 18.46–33.43 16.41–35.48 | 29% 64% |
| Shots in box | 7.38 4.44–10.32 3.61–11.15 | 8.91 6.23–11.59 5.49–12.33 | 16.29 10.67–21.91 9.10–23.48 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.15 1.26–5.03 0.72–5.57 | 3.50 1.85–5.15 1.36–5.65 | 6.65 3.11–10.18 2.08–11.22 | 37% 16% 48% |
| Corners | 4.54 2.33–6.75 1.75–7.33 | 5.14 3.14–7.14 2.60–7.67 | 9.68 5.47–13.89 4.36–15.00 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 50.68 43.89–57.47 42.22–59.14 | 49.05 42.26–55.83 40.59–57.51 | — | 51% 44% |
| Passes | 471 404–538 386–556 | 439 372–505 355–523 | 910 776–1044 741–1079 | 60% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.23 79.20–87.26 77.91–88.55 | 78.29 73.96–82.61 72.65–83.92 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 12.15 9.31–14.99 8.55–15.74 | 11.96 9.01–14.90 8.26–15.65 | 24.10 18.32–29.89 16.82–31.39 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.31 0.22–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 2.82 0.57–5.07 0.00–5.66 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 1.85 0.72–2.97 0.42–3.27 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.82–6.29 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.86–4.73 1.47–5.12 | 2.55 1.00–4.11 0.57–4.53 | 5.85 2.85–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.